Rayo Vallecano II vs Las Rozas: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva Rayo Vallecano Campo 2, Madrid
The Footlab model makes Las Rozas the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Rayo Vallecano II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rayo Vallecano II vs Las Rozas?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Rayo Vallecano II (1,718) and Las Rozas (1,784).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rayo Vallecano II have 1 wins, 1 draws and 13 defeats; Las Rozas have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Socuéllamos(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Intercity(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Elche II(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Trival Valderas(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 31, 2026 | Trival Valderas(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 24, 2026 | Torrejón(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 17, 2026 | Torrejón(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 10, 2026 | Galapagar(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Rayo Vallecano II win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Las Rozas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2025 | Las Rozas 2-2 Rayo Vallecano II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Rayo Vallecano II 3-2 Las Rozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Las Rozas 3-0 Rayo Vallecano II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Rayo Vallecano II 3-1 Las Rozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Mar 5, 2023 | Las Rozas 2-2 Rayo Vallecano II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 30, 2022 | Rayo Vallecano II 0-1 Las Rozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
Last archived meeting: Las Rozas vs Rayo Vallecano II on May 4, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Rayo Vallecano II score 0.6 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Las Rozas score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano II | 0.6 | 2.3 | 1 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Las Rozas | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Las Rozas | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58 | 42 | 56 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rayo Vallecano II vs Las Rozas?
- The Footlab model makes Las Rozas the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Rayo Vallecano II.
- Where and when is Rayo Vallecano II vs Las Rozas played?
- Rayo Vallecano II vs Las Rozas is played on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva Rayo Vallecano Campo 2, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 9, 2027Leganés IIvsPozuelo Alarcón
- May 9, 2027MóstolesvsAlcobendas Sport
- May 9, 2027Trival ValderasvsUnión Adarve
- May 9, 2027GalapagarvsParla Escuela
- May 9, 2027Colonia MoscardóvsFuenlabrada
- May 9, 2027Cala PozuelovsReal Aranjuez
- May 9, 2027SS Reyes IIvsTorrejón
- May 9, 2027RC AlcobendasvsVillanueva Pardillo