Match

Rayo Vallecano II vs Las Rozas: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva Rayo Vallecano Campo 2, Madrid

Rayo Vallecano IILas Rozas

The Footlab model makes Las Rozas the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Rayo Vallecano II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Rayo Vallecano II vs Las Rozas?

A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Rayo Vallecano II (1,718) and Las Rozas (1,784).

Rayo Vallecano II win32 %
Draw27 %
Las Rozas win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rayo Vallecano II have 1 wins, 1 draws and 13 defeats; Las Rozas have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Rayo Vallecano II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Rayo Majadahonda(away)0-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026Socuéllamos(home)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026RSD Alcalá(away)0-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 12, 2026Intercity(home)3-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 4, 2026Elche II(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Las Rozas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 7, 2026Trival Valderas(away)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 31, 2026Trival Valderas(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 24, 2026Torrejón(away)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 17, 2026Torrejón(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 10, 2026Galapagar(away)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Rayo Vallecano II win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Las Rozas win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 4, 2025Las Rozas 2-2 Rayo Vallecano IITercera División RFEF - Group 7
Dec 22, 2024Rayo Vallecano II 3-2 Las RozasTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Mar 23, 2024Las Rozas 3-0 Rayo Vallecano IITercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 5, 2023Rayo Vallecano II 3-1 Las RozasTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Mar 5, 2023Las Rozas 2-2 Rayo Vallecano IITercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 30, 2022Rayo Vallecano II 0-1 Las RozasTercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Las Rozas vs Rayo Vallecano II on May 4, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Rayo Vallecano II score 0.6 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Las Rozas score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Rayo Vallecano II0.62.316/1510/15
Las Rozas1.71.558/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Las Rozas3416810584256

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Rayo Vallecano II vs Las Rozas?
The Footlab model makes Las Rozas the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Rayo Vallecano II.
Where and when is Rayo Vallecano II vs Las Rozas played?
Rayo Vallecano II vs Las Rozas is played on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva Rayo Vallecano Campo 2, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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