Match

Leganés II vs Alcobendas Sport: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Anexo Butarque, Leganés

Leganés IIAlcobendas Sport

The Footlab model makes Leganés II the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Alcobendas Sport. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Leganés II vs Alcobendas Sport?

A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Leganés II (1,803) and Alcobendas Sport (1,718).

Leganés II win48 %
Draw25 %
Alcobendas Sport win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leganés II have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Alcobendas Sport have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Leganés II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 12, 2026Real Valladolid II(away)3-3Friendlies Clubs
May 24, 2026Trival Valderas(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 17, 2026Trival Valderas(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 10, 2026Alcobendas Sport(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026Tres Cantos(away)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Alcobendas Sport
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Leganés II(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026Trival Valderas(home)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026Torrejón(away)3-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 18, 2026AD Parla(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 11, 2026Alcorcón II(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Leganés II win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Alcobendas Sport win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Leganés II 1-2 Alcobendas SportTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Jan 10, 2026Alcobendas Sport 0-1 Leganés IITercera División RFEF - Group 7
Jan 18, 2025Alcobendas Sport 1-2 Leganés IITercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 8, 2024Leganés II 4-0 Alcobendas SportTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 13, 2024Alcobendas Sport 1-1 Leganés IITercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 25, 2023Leganés II 1-2 Alcobendas SportTercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Leganés II vs Alcobendas Sport on May 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Leganés II score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Alcobendas Sport score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Leganés II1.71.6310/158/15
Alcobendas Sport1.21.439/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Leganés II sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (55 points from 34 matches) and Alcobendas Sport sit 11th (45 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Leganés II34151010633355
11Alcobendas Sport34121013454945

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Leganés II vs Alcobendas Sport?
The Footlab model makes Leganés II the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Alcobendas Sport.
Where and when is Leganés II vs Alcobendas Sport played?
Leganés II vs Alcobendas Sport is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Anexo Butarque, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Leganés II and Alcobendas Sport

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