Match

Leganés II vs Colonia Moscardó: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Anexo Butarque, Leganés

Leganés IIColonia Moscardó

The Footlab model makes Leganés II the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Colonia Moscardó. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Leganés II vs Colonia Moscardó?

A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Leganés II (1,803) and Colonia Moscardó (1,768).

Leganés II win44 %
Draw27 %
Colonia Moscardó win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leganés II have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Colonia Moscardó have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Leganés II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 12, 2026Real Valladolid II(away)3-3Friendlies Clubs
May 24, 2026Trival Valderas(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 17, 2026Trival Valderas(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 10, 2026Alcobendas Sport(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026Tres Cantos(away)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Colonia Moscardó
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Intercity(away)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026Navalcarnero(home)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 14, 2026Real Madrid III(away)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 11, 2026Orihuela(home)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 5, 2026Getafe II(away)2-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Leganés II win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Colonia Moscardó win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 8, 2024Leganés II 0-1 Colonia MoscardóTercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 2, 2024Colonia Moscardó 1-1 Leganés IITercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Mar 17, 2024Colonia Moscardó 0-1 Leganés IITercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 28, 2023Leganés II 2-2 Colonia MoscardóTercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Leganés II vs Colonia Moscardó on Jun 8, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Leganés II score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Colonia Moscardó score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Leganés II1.71.6310/158/15
Colonia Moscardó1.11.355/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Leganés II34151010633355

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Leganés II vs Colonia Moscardó?
The Footlab model makes Leganés II the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Colonia Moscardó.
Where and when is Leganés II vs Colonia Moscardó played?
Leganés II vs Colonia Moscardó is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Anexo Butarque, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Leganés II and Colonia Moscardó

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