Match

Colonia Moscardó vs Real Aranjuez: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 · Matchday 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Román Valero, Madrid

Colonia MoscardóReal Aranjuez

The Footlab AI model makes Colonia Moscardó the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Real Aranjuez. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 5,995 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Colonia Moscardó vs Real Aranjuez?

Colonia Moscardó starts as the favourite with a 230-point Elo edge (1,778 vs 1,547).

66%20%14%
Colonia Moscardó winDrawReal Aranjuez win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Colonia Moscardó vs Real Aranjuez

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Colonia Moscardó

4-3-3
  1. 9Dani Segovia
  2. SSamu Guillén
  3. 19Dzhoshkun Temenuzhkov Mihaylov
  1. 10Crespo
  2. MM. Sennouni
  3. 22Julio Cidoncha
  1. 20M. Télis
  2. NNacho Recalde
  3. 3Borja Paris
  4. MMiguel García
  1. 13Guille Pérez

Real Aranjuez

4-3-3
  1. CChiki
  2. JJuanito Díaz
  3. IIván Morcillo
  1. AAitor Carrillo
  2. CCarlitos Monzón
  3. CChanque
  1. JJuanlu
  2. MMario Jimeno
  3. GG. Spasov
  4. VVíctor Cartas
  1. TT. Robu

Computed on November 14, 2026 at 06:23 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colonia Moscardó have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Real Aranjuez have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Colonia Moscardó
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Leganés II(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 31, 2026Cala Pozuelo(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 25, 2026Rayo Vallecano II(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 18, 2026Las Rozas(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 10, 2026Real Aranjuez(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Real Aranjuez
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Unión Adarve(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 1, 2026Torrejón(away)1-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 24, 2026Fuenlabrada(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 17, 2026Alcobendas Sport(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 10, 2026Colonia Moscardó(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 0 Colonia Moscardó wins, 1 draw, 0 Real Aranjuez wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Real Aranjuez 1-1 Colonia MoscardóTercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Real Aranjuez vs Colonia Moscardó on Oct 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Colonia Moscardó score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Real Aranjuez score 1.1 and concede 2.8. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Colonia Moscardó1.50.958/154/15
Real Aranjuez1.12.8110/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Colonia Moscardó sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (17 points from 9 matches) and Real Aranjuez sit 13th (10 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Colonia Moscardó945018817
13Real Aranjuez10244152110

A question about Colonia Moscardó vs Real Aranjuez?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Colonia Moscardó vs Real Aranjuez?
The Footlab AI model makes Colonia Moscardó the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Real Aranjuez.
Where and when is Colonia Moscardó vs Real Aranjuez played?
Colonia Moscardó vs Real Aranjuez is played on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Román Valero, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Colonia Moscardó and Real Aranjuez