Móstoles vs Unión Adarve: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de El Soto, Móstoles
The Footlab AI model makes Móstoles the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Unión Adarve. The most likely score is 1-1. If Móstoles wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,713 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Móstoles vs Unión Adarve?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Móstoles (1,793) and Unión Adarve (1,805).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Móstoles vs Unión Adarve
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Móstoles
Not enough data to predict the Móstoles lineup.
Unión Adarve
Not enough data to predict the Unión Adarve lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 08:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Móstoles have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Unión Adarve have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Unión Adarve(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Leganés II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Torrejón(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cala Pozuelo(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Fuenlabrada(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Móstoles(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Torrejón(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Fuenlabrada(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Alcobendas Sport(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Colonia Moscardó(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Móstoles wins, 1 draw, 3 Unión Adarve wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Unión Adarve 2-1 Móstoles | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Unión Adarve 0-2 Móstoles | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Móstoles 0-3 Unión Adarve | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Móstoles 1-0 Unión Adarve | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Unión Adarve 2-1 Móstoles | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 10, 2022 | Móstoles 0-0 Unión Adarve | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Unión Adarve vs Móstoles on Oct 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Móstoles score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Unión Adarve score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Móstoles | 1.0 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Unión Adarve | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Móstoles sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (11 points from 6 matches) and Unión Adarve sit 8th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Móstoles | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | Unión Adarve | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 9 |
A question about Móstoles vs Unión Adarve?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Móstoles vs Unión Adarve?
- The Footlab AI model makes Móstoles the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Unión Adarve.
- Where and when is Móstoles vs Unión Adarve played?
- Móstoles vs Unión Adarve is played on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de El Soto, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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