Match

Alcobendas Sport vs Pozuelo Alarcón: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campos Municipales Valle de la Oliva, Majadahonda

Alcobendas SportPozuelo Alarcón

The Footlab model makes Pozuelo Alarcón the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Alcobendas Sport. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Alcobendas Sport vs Pozuelo Alarcón?

A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Alcobendas Sport (1,718) and Pozuelo Alarcón (1,721).

Alcobendas Sport win33 %
Draw28 %
Pozuelo Alarcón win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alcobendas Sport have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Pozuelo Alarcón have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Alcobendas Sport
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Leganés II(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026Trival Valderas(home)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026Torrejón(away)3-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 18, 2026AD Parla(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 11, 2026Alcorcón II(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Pozuelo Alarcón
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Marchamalo(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026Tres Cantos(home)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026Carabanchel(away)2-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 25, 2026Móstoles(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026SS Reyes II(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Alcobendas Sport win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Pozuelo Alarcón win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 17, 2026Alcobendas Sport 0-3 Pozuelo AlarcónTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 7, 2025Pozuelo Alarcón 1-2 Alcobendas SportTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Feb 25, 2024Pozuelo Alarcón 0-0 Alcobendas SportTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 8, 2023Alcobendas Sport 0-0 Pozuelo AlarcónTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Mar 18, 2023Alcobendas Sport 4-3 Pozuelo AlarcónTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 20, 2022Pozuelo Alarcón 0-0 Alcobendas SportTercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Alcobendas Sport vs Pozuelo Alarcón on Jan 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Alcobendas Sport score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Pozuelo Alarcón score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Alcobendas Sport1.21.439/157/15
Pozuelo Alarcón1.11.227/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Alcobendas Sport sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (45 points from 34 matches) and Pozuelo Alarcón sit 9th (48 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Pozuelo Alarcón34121210403348
11Alcobendas Sport34121013454945

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Alcobendas Sport vs Pozuelo Alarcón?
The Footlab model makes Pozuelo Alarcón the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Alcobendas Sport.
Where and when is Alcobendas Sport vs Pozuelo Alarcón played?
Alcobendas Sport vs Pozuelo Alarcón is played on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campos Municipales Valle de la Oliva, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Alcobendas Sport and Pozuelo Alarcón

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