Where and when is Real Aranjuez vs Colonia Moscardó played?

Real Aranjuez vs Colonia Moscardó is played on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Deleite, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Real Aranjuez vs Colonia Moscardó: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Deleite, Aranjuez

Real Aranjuez

Colonia Moscardó

The Footlab model makes Colonia Moscardó the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Real Aranjuez. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Aranjuez vs Colonia Moscardó?

Colonia Moscardó starts as the favourite with a 224-point Elo edge (1,768 vs 1,544).

Real Aranjuez win24 %

Draw26 %

Colonia Moscardó win51 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Aranjuez have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Colonia Moscardó have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Aranjuez
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 23, 2023	Madrid 2021 FP(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 16, 2023	RSC Internacional(home)	0-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 6, 2023	Trival Valderas(home)	1-5	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 2, 2023	Rayo Vallecano II(away)	0-6	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Mar 26, 2023	Galapagar(home)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Colonia Moscardó
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Intercity(away)	0-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026	Navalcarnero(home)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 14, 2026	Real Madrid III(away)	0-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 11, 2026	Orihuela(home)	1-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 5, 2026	Getafe II(away)	2-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

How many goals should we expect?

Real Aranjuez score 0.6 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Colonia Moscardó score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Real Aranjuez	0.6	2.2	4	4/15	6/15
Colonia Moscardó	1.1	1.3	5	5/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Aranjuez vs Colonia Moscardó?: The Footlab model makes Colonia Moscardó the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Real Aranjuez.
Where and when is Real Aranjuez vs Colonia Moscardó played?: Real Aranjuez vs Colonia Moscardó is played on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Deleite, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.