Como vs AEK Athens FC: prediction and stats
UEFA Champions LeagueLeague Stage - 5Kick-off on November 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como
The Footlab AI model makes Como the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for AEK Athens FC. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,987 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Como vs AEK Athens FC?
On Elo ratings, Como has 2,273 points and AEK Athens FC 2,192.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Como vs AEK Athens FC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Como
4-2-3-1- 9T. Douvikas
- 7L. da Cunha
- 10N. Paz
- 6Luis Milla
- 5M. Perrone
- 8M. Caqueret
- 2M. Kempf
- 27Yan Couto
- 4Jacobo Ramón Naveros
- 3Álex Valle
- 1J. Butez
AEK Athens FC
4-4-2- 9L. Jović
- 19B. Varga
- 14L. Majer
- 11A. Koita
- 18R. Marin
- 16K. Arriaga
- 3S. Pilios
- 44Filipe Relvas
- 2H. Moukoudi
- 12L. Rota
- 91A. Brignoli
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 05:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Como have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; AEK Athens FC have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Lens(away) | 9-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Venezia(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Torino(away) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Sassuolo(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Manchester United(home) | 4-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Real Madrid(home) | 2-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Panathinaikos(away) | 0-2 | Super League 1 |
| Oct 28, 2026 | PAOK(away) | 1-3 | Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Panetolikos(home) | 5-0 | Super League 1 |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Manchester City(away) | 1-5 | UEFA Champions League |
How many goals should we expect?
Como score 2.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; AEK Athens FC score 2.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Como | 2.5 | 0.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| AEK Athens FC | 2.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Como sit 4th in UEFA Champions League (9 points from 4 matches) and AEK Athens FC sit 29th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Como | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 9 |
| 29 | AEK Athens FC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
A question about Como vs AEK Athens FC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Como vs AEK Athens FC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Como the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for AEK Athens FC.
- Where and when is Como vs AEK Athens FC played?
- Como vs AEK Athens FC is played on November 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, in the UEFA Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.