Công An Nhân Dân vs Svay Rieng: prediction and stats
ASEAN Club ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on December 10, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sân vận động Hàng Đẫy (Hang Day Stadium), Hanoi
The Footlab model makes Công An Nhân Dân the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Svay Rieng. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Công An Nhân Dân vs Svay Rieng?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Công An Nhân Dân (1,941) and Svay Rieng (1,873).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Công An Nhân Dân have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Svay Rieng have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Adelaide United(away) | 2-0 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Viettel(away) | 0-1 | V.League 1 |
| May 31, 2026 | Binh Duong(home) | 2-1 | V.League 1 |
| May 24, 2026 | Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh(away) | 1-1 | V.League 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Thanh Hóa(home) | 2-0 | V.League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Visakha(home) | 4-4 | Hun Sen Cup |
| May 20, 2026 | Boeung Ket(home) | 3-2 | Hun Sen Cup |
| May 17, 2026 | Phnom Penh Crown(home) | 1-2 | C-League |
| May 13, 2026 | Al Kuwait(away) | 3-4 | AFC Challenge League |
| May 7, 2026 | Boeung Ket(home) | 2-3 | C-League |
How many goals should we expect?
Công An Nhân Dân score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Svay Rieng score 2.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Công An Nhân Dân | 2.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Svay Rieng | 2.3 | 1.8 | 2 | 13/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Công An Nhân Dân sit 4th in ASEAN Club Championship (7 points from 5 matches) and Svay Rieng sit 3rd (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Svay Rieng | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Công An Nhân Dân | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Công An Nhân Dân vs Svay Rieng?
- The Footlab model makes Công An Nhân Dân the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Svay Rieng.
- Where and when is Công An Nhân Dân vs Svay Rieng played?
- Công An Nhân Dân vs Svay Rieng is played on December 10, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Sân vận động Hàng Đẫy (Hang Day Stadium), in the ASEAN Club Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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