Match

Conquense vs Calvo Sotelo: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal La Fuensanta, Cuenca

ConquenseCalvo Sotelo

The Footlab model makes Conquense the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Calvo Sotelo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Conquense vs Calvo Sotelo?

A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Conquense (1,914) and Calvo Sotelo (1,941).

Conquense win41 %
Draw28 %
Calvo Sotelo win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Conquense have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Calvo Sotelo have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Conquense
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 31, 2026UD Ourense(home)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 24, 2026UD Ourense(away)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 17, 2026Xerez(home)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 9, 2026Xerez(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026Real Madrid III(away)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Calvo Sotelo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026La Solana(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
May 3, 2026Toledo(away)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Apr 26, 2026Cazalegas(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Apr 19, 2026Huracán Balazote(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Apr 12, 2026Guadalajara II(home)4-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 18

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Conquense win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Calvo Sotelo win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 23, 2024Calvo Sotelo 2-0 ConquenseTercera División RFEF - Group 18
Nov 5, 2023Conquense 0-0 Calvo SoteloTercera División RFEF - Group 18
Feb 26, 2023Conquense 1-0 Calvo SoteloTercera División RFEF - Group 18
Oct 23, 2022Calvo Sotelo 0-0 ConquenseTercera División RFEF - Group 18
Dec 1, 2019Calvo Sotelo 4-0 ConquenseTercera División RFEF - Group 18

Last archived meeting: Calvo Sotelo vs Conquense on Mar 23, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Conquense score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Calvo Sotelo score 1.7 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Conquense1.10.965/154/15
Calvo Sotelo1.70.687/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Conquense3416126423060

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Conquense vs Calvo Sotelo?
The Footlab model makes Conquense the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Calvo Sotelo.
Where and when is Conquense vs Calvo Sotelo played?
Conquense vs Calvo Sotelo is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal La Fuensanta, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Conquense and Calvo Sotelo

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