Conquense vs Calvo Sotelo: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal La Fuensanta, Cuenca
The Footlab model makes Conquense the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Calvo Sotelo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Conquense vs Calvo Sotelo?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Conquense (1,914) and Calvo Sotelo (1,941).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Conquense have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Calvo Sotelo have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | UD Ourense(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 24, 2026 | UD Ourense(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 17, 2026 | Xerez(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Xerez(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Real Madrid III(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | La Solana(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| May 3, 2026 | Toledo(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Cazalegas(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Huracán Balazote(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Guadalajara II(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Conquense win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Calvo Sotelo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | Calvo Sotelo 2-0 Conquense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Conquense 0-0 Calvo Sotelo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Conquense 1-0 Calvo Sotelo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Calvo Sotelo 0-0 Conquense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Dec 1, 2019 | Calvo Sotelo 4-0 Conquense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
Last archived meeting: Calvo Sotelo vs Conquense on Mar 23, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Conquense score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Calvo Sotelo score 1.7 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conquense | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Calvo Sotelo | 1.7 | 0.6 | 8 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Conquense | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 42 | 30 | 60 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Conquense vs Calvo Sotelo?
- The Footlab model makes Conquense the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Calvo Sotelo.
- Where and when is Conquense vs Calvo Sotelo played?
- Conquense vs Calvo Sotelo is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal La Fuensanta, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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