Where and when is CF Talavera vs Numancia played?

CF Talavera vs Numancia is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Prado, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

CF Talavera vs Numancia: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Prado, Talavera de la Reina

CF Talavera

Numancia

The Footlab model makes CF Talavera the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Numancia. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win CF Talavera vs Numancia?

A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate CF Talavera (1,902) and Numancia (1,946).

CF Talavera win40 %

Draw28 %

Numancia win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CF Talavera have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Numancia have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

CF Talavera
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 19, 2026	Getafe II(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 14, 2026	Illescas(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026	Cacereño(away)	2-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026	Ourense CF(home)	0-0	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 10, 2026	Osasuna II(away)	1-2	Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Numancia
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Zaragoza(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 17, 2026	Poblense(away)	1-2	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 10, 2026	Poblense(home)	0-1	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026	Marino de Luanco(home)	1-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026	Langreo(away)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 CF Talavera win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Numancia win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 28, 2024	Numancia 1-0 CF Talavera	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Dec 16, 2023	CF Talavera 1-1 Numancia	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 27, 2023	CF Talavera 2-0 Numancia	Copa Federacion

Last archived meeting: Numancia vs CF Talavera on Apr 28, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

CF Talavera score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Numancia score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
CF Talavera	0.9	0.9	4	9/15	6/15
Numancia	1.3	0.9	4	9/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2024-25 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	CF Talavera	34	19	9	6	50	27	66

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for CF Talavera vs Numancia?: The Footlab model makes CF Talavera the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Numancia.
Where and when is CF Talavera vs Numancia played?: CF Talavera vs Numancia is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Prado, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.