CF Talavera vs Numancia: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Prado, Talavera de la Reina
The Footlab AI model makes CF Talavera the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Numancia. The most likely score is 1-1. If CF Talavera wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,618 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CF Talavera vs Numancia?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate CF Talavera (1,906) and Numancia (1,974).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for CF Talavera vs Numancia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
CF Talavera
Not enough data to predict the CF Talavera lineup.
Numancia
4-3-3- 9Jony González
- 14Alejandro Gil Rochina
- 26C. Godson
- 8M. Gning
- 5O. De Frutos
- 6N. Lucas Rey
- 2Marcos Sánchez
- 16Carlos Gutiérrez
- 22Fermín Ruiz
- 4Ian Olivera
- 1M. Abad
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 03:57 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CF Talavera have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Numancia have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atlético Paso(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Albacete II(away) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Real Valladolid II(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Getafe II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Real Madrid III(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Real Ávila(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Getafe II(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Guadalajara(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | SS Reyes(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | A Madrid III(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 CF Talavera win, 1 draw, 1 Numancia win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2024 | Numancia 1-0 CF Talavera | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Dec 16, 2023 | CF Talavera 1-1 Numancia | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2023 | CF Talavera 2-0 Numancia | Copa Federacion |
Last archived meeting: Numancia vs CF Talavera on Apr 28, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
CF Talavera score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Numancia score 1.2 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF Talavera | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Numancia | 1.2 | 0.6 | 8 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CF Talavera sit 5th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (11 points from 6 matches) and Numancia sit 3rd (12 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Numancia | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| 5 | CF Talavera | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 11 |
A question about CF Talavera vs Numancia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CF Talavera vs Numancia?
- The Footlab AI model makes CF Talavera the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Numancia.
- Where and when is CF Talavera vs Numancia played?
- CF Talavera vs Numancia is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Prado, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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