Match

Navalcarnero vs RSD Alcalá: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo de San Francisco, Reinosa

NavalcarneroRSD Alcalá

The Footlab AI model makes Navalcarnero the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for RSD Alcalá. The most likely score is 1-1. If Navalcarnero wins, the most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,630 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Navalcarnero vs RSD Alcalá?

On Elo ratings, Navalcarnero has 1,918 points and RSD Alcalá 1,869.

59%23%18%
Navalcarnero winDrawRSD Alcalá win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Navalcarnero vs RSD Alcalá

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Navalcarnero

4-3-3
  1. 11M. Jimenez
  2. 9Vizuete Perez Jaime
  3. 24A. Altube Suarez
  1. 14Javi Bueno
  2. 21I. Perera
  3. 15J. Cruz
  1. 6R. de Souza
  2. 5A. Espinola
  3. 3Juanmi
  4. 19A. Aunon
  1. 1A. Calado

RSD Alcalá

4-3-3
  1. 10Izan
  2. 23I. Robledo
  3. 19N. Sanchez
  1. 11Javi Hernández
  2. 7J. Arribas
  3. 8S. Marcos
  1. 22D. Nieto
  2. 15Chete
  3. 4H. Torres
  4. 12M. Lopez
  1. 1I. Gil

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 05:03 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Navalcarnero have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; RSD Alcalá have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Navalcarnero
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 14, 2026Recreativo Huelva(away)2-2Copa Federacion
Oct 11, 2026A Madrid III(home)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 4, 2026RSD Alcalá(away)3-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 30, 2026Real Murcia(home)3-1Copa Federacion
Sep 27, 2026Conquense(home)1-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
RSD Alcalá
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Calvo Sotelo(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 4, 2026Navalcarnero(home)1-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 27, 2026Salamanca UDS(away)0-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 20, 2026Gimnástica Segoviana(home)5-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 13, 2026Guadalajara(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Navalcarnero wins, 0 draws, 2 RSD Alcalá wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 4, 2026RSD Alcalá 1-3 NavalcarneroSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Mar 22, 2026RSD Alcalá 1-0 NavalcarneroSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Dec 7, 2025Navalcarnero 3-1 RSD AlcaláSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Jan 12, 2020Navalcarnero 0-1 RSD AlcaláTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Aug 25, 2019RSD Alcalá 0-1 NavalcarneroTercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: RSD Alcalá vs Navalcarnero on Oct 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Navalcarnero score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; RSD Alcalá score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Navalcarnero1.91.2410/1510/15
RSD Alcalá1.51.267/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Navalcarnero sit 10th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (8 points from 6 matches) and RSD Alcalá sit 11th (7 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Navalcarnero6222998
11RSD Alcalá621310107

A question about Navalcarnero vs RSD Alcalá?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Navalcarnero vs RSD Alcalá?
The Footlab AI model makes Navalcarnero the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for RSD Alcalá.
Where and when is Navalcarnero vs RSD Alcalá played?
Navalcarnero vs RSD Alcalá is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de San Francisco, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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