Real Ávila vs A Madrid III: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Adolfo Suárez, Ávila
The Footlab AI model makes Real Ávila the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for A Madrid III. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Ávila wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,073 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Ávila vs A Madrid III?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Real Ávila (1,830) and A Madrid III (1,856).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Real Ávila vs A Madrid III
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Real Ávila
4-3-1-2- 9D. Lorenzo
- 12Carlos Pérez
- 28M. Sarr
- 7Runy
- 16M. Ruiz
- 8Filipe Sissé
- 22F. Garrido Diaz
- 23G. L. Urbina
- 5C. Pascual
- 3Michael Ngaah
- 1O. Lopez
A Madrid III
Not enough data to predict the A Madrid III lineup.
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 09:08 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Ávila have 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats; A Madrid III have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Salamanca UDS(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Real Madrid III(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(home) | 1-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Atlético Paso(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Real Valladolid II(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas(home) | 3-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | CF Talavera(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Albacete II(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Navalcarnero(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Real Ávila wins, 0 draws, 1 A Madrid III win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | A Madrid III 2-1 Real Ávila | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: A Madrid III vs Real Ávila on Sep 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Ávila score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; A Madrid III score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Ávila | 0.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| A Madrid III | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Ávila sit 17th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (7 points from 9 matches) and A Madrid III sit 4th (18 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | A Madrid III | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 18 |
| 17 | Real Ávila | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 7 |
A question about Real Ávila vs A Madrid III?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Ávila vs A Madrid III?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real Ávila the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for A Madrid III.
- Where and when is Real Ávila vs A Madrid III played?
- Real Ávila vs A Madrid III is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Adolfo Suárez, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 21, 2027CF TalaveravsNumancia
- Mar 21, 2027ConquensevsCalvo Sotelo
- Mar 21, 2027NavalcarnerovsRSD Alcalá
- Mar 21, 2027Gimnástica SegovianavsAlbacete II
- Mar 21, 2027SS ReyesvsGetafe II
- Mar 21, 2027Real Valladolid IIvsAtlético Tordesillas
- Mar 21, 2027CalamochavsSalamanca UDS
- Mar 21, 2027GuadalajaravsAtlético Astorga