Where and when is Navalcarnero vs SS Reyes played?

Navalcarnero vs SS Reyes is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de San Francisco, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Navalcarnero vs SS Reyes: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 29Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo de San Francisco, Reinosa

Navalcarnero

SS Reyes

The Footlab model makes SS Reyes the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Navalcarnero. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Navalcarnero vs SS Reyes?

SS Reyes starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,991 vs 1,863).

Navalcarnero win32 %

Draw28 %

SS Reyes win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Navalcarnero have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; SS Reyes have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Navalcarnero
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Fuenlabrada(home)	3-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026	Colonia Moscardó(away)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026	Conquense(home)	2-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 12, 2026	CD Coria(away)	1-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 5, 2026	Rayo Majadahonda(home)	2-3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

SS Reyes
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Atlético Baleares(home)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
May 30, 2026	UD Logroñés(home)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 24, 2026	UD Logroñés(away)	0-1	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 17, 2026	Alcoyano(home)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 10, 2026	Alcoyano(away)	2-0	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Navalcarnero win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 SS Reyes win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 1, 2026	Navalcarnero 0-2 SS Reyes	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 21, 2025	SS Reyes 3-1 Navalcarnero	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
May 4, 2025	SS Reyes 2-0 Navalcarnero	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Dec 22, 2024	Navalcarnero 2-0 SS Reyes	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Mar 31, 2024	Navalcarnero 1-1 SS Reyes	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Nov 19, 2023	SS Reyes 0-0 Navalcarnero	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

Last archived meeting: Navalcarnero vs SS Reyes on Feb 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Navalcarnero score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; SS Reyes score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Navalcarnero	1.3	1.5	3	7/15	8/15
SS Reyes	1.3	0.9	5	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Navalcarnero sit 10th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (43 points from 34 matches) and SS Reyes sit 2nd (70 points from 34 matches).

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	SS Reyes	34	21	7	6	51	27	70
10	Navalcarnero	34	11	10	13	40	42	43

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Navalcarnero vs SS Reyes?: The Footlab model makes SS Reyes the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Navalcarnero.
Where and when is Navalcarnero vs SS Reyes played?: Navalcarnero vs SS Reyes is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de San Francisco, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.