Colo Colo vs U. Catolica: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 28Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Monumental David Arellano, Santiago de Chile
The Footlab model makes Colo Colo the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for U. Catolica. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colo Colo vs U. Catolica?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Colo Colo (1,894) and U. Catolica (1,869).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colo Colo have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; U. Catolica have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Universidad de Chile(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | O'Higgins(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Union La Calera(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Everton de Vina(away) | 4-3 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Deportes Limache(home) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Nublense(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Estudiantes L.P.(home) | 0-3 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Estudiantes L.P.(away) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cobresal(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Concepción(away) | 0-3 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Colo Colo win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 U. Catolica win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | U. Catolica 1-2 Colo Colo | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Colo Colo 1-4 U. Catolica | Primera División |
| Jul 6, 2025 | U. Catolica 2-0 Colo Colo | Primera División |
| Oct 3, 2024 | Colo Colo 1-0 U. Catolica | Primera División |
| Apr 20, 2024 | U. Catolica 0-1 Colo Colo | Primera División |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Colo Colo 2-1 U. Catolica | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: U. Catolica vs Colo Colo on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Colo Colo score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; U. Catolica score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colo Colo | 2.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| U. Catolica | 2.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Colo Colo sit 1st in Primera División (36 points from 15 matches) and U. Catolica sit 2nd (26 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 15 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 12 | 36 |
| 1 | Colo Colo | 20 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 42 | 20 | 49 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 20 | 26 |
| 5 | U. Catolica | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 41 | 28 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colo Colo vs U. Catolica?
- The Footlab model makes Colo Colo the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for U. Catolica.
- Where and when is Colo Colo vs U. Catolica played?
- Colo Colo vs U. Catolica is played on November 22, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Monumental David Arellano, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.