Cordobés vs Celaya: prediction and stats
Primera PremierRegular Season - 23Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Alberto Pérez Navarro, Huixquilucan De Degollado
The Footlab AI model makes Celaya the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Cordobés. The most likely score is 1-1. If Celaya wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,664 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cordobés vs Celaya?
Celaya starts as the favourite with a 163-point Elo edge (1,964 vs 1,801).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cordobés vs Celaya
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cordobés
Not enough data to predict the Cordobés lineup.
Celaya
Not enough data to predict the Celaya lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 05:33 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cordobés have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Celaya have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Lobos ULMX(away) | 0-2 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tigres de Alica(home) | 1-0 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Los Cabos United(away) | 2-0 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Zacatepec 1948(home) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Reboceros La Piedad(home) | 1-2 | Primera Premier |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Racing de Veracruz(away) | 1-2 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Jaguares de Chiapas(home) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Deportiva Venados(away) | 2-2 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Montañeses(home) | 2-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chapulineros(away) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
How many goals should we expect?
Cordobés score 0.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Celaya score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordobés | 0.8 | 1.4 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Celaya | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cordobés sit 12th in Primera Premier (7 points from 6 matches) and Celaya sit 6th (13 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celaya | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 13 |
| 12 | Cordobés | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 7 |
A question about Cordobés vs Celaya?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cordobés vs Celaya?
- The Footlab AI model makes Celaya the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Cordobés.
- Where and when is Cordobés vs Celaya played?
- Cordobés vs Celaya is played on March 6, 2027 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Alberto Pérez Navarro, in the Primera Premier.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 5, 2027Tritons VallartavsChapulineros
- Mar 6, 2027Tigres de AlicavsDeportiva Venados
- Mar 6, 2027Reboceros La PiedadvsJaguares de Chiapas
- Mar 6, 2027Zacatepec 1948vsPioneros de Cancún
- Mar 7, 2027IrapuatovsInter Playa del Carmen
- Mar 7, 2027Lobos ULMXvsMontañeses
- Mar 7, 2027Los Cabos UnitedvsRacing de Veracruz
- Mar 7, 2027H2O PurepechasvsTapachula