H2O Purepechas vs Tapachula: prediction and stats
Primera PremierRegular Season - 23Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes H2O Purepechas the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Tapachula. The most likely score is 1-1. If H2O Purepechas wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,664 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win H2O Purepechas vs Tapachula?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate H2O Purepechas (1,801) and Tapachula (1,840).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for H2O Purepechas vs Tapachula
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
H2O Purepechas
Not enough data to predict the H2O Purepechas lineup.
Tapachula
Not enough data to predict the Tapachula lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 06:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, H2O Purepechas have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Tapachula have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lobos ULMX(home) | 2-0 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Tigres de Alica(away) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Los Cabos United(home) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Zacatepec 1948(away) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Reboceros La Piedad(away) | 0-3 | Primera Premier |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Montañeses(away) | 1-2 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Chapulineros(home) | 2-3 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Pioneros de Cancún(away) | 1-5 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Inter Playa del Carmen(home) | 2-0 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Celaya(away) | 0-2 | Primera Premier |
How many goals should we expect?
H2O Purepechas score 0.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 6; Tapachula score 1.6 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2O Purepechas | 0.5 | 1.2 | 1 | 1/6 | 1/6 |
| Tapachula | 1.6 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
H2O Purepechas sit 14th in Primera Premier (4 points from 6 matches) and Tapachula sit 17th (3 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | H2O Purepechas | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 |
| 17 | Tapachula | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 3 |
A question about H2O Purepechas vs Tapachula?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for H2O Purepechas vs Tapachula?
- The Footlab AI model makes H2O Purepechas the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Tapachula.
- Where and when is H2O Purepechas vs Tapachula played?
- H2O Purepechas vs Tapachula is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Primera Premier.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 5, 2027Tritons VallartavsChapulineros
- Mar 6, 2027Tigres de AlicavsDeportiva Venados
- Mar 6, 2027Reboceros La PiedadvsJaguares de Chiapas
- Mar 6, 2027Zacatepec 1948vsPioneros de Cancún
- Mar 6, 2027CordobésvsCelaya
- Mar 7, 2027IrapuatovsInter Playa del Carmen
- Mar 7, 2027Lobos ULMXvsMontañeses
- Mar 7, 2027Los Cabos UnitedvsRacing de Veracruz