Coventry vs Leeds: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry, West Midlands
The Footlab AI model makes Leeds the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Coventry. The most likely score is 1-1. If Leeds wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Coventry vs Leeds?
Leeds starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (2,255 vs 2,116).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Coventry vs Leeds
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Coventry
4-2-3-1- 49S. Cherif
- 6M. Grimes
- 5J. Rudoni
- 10E. Mason-Clark
- 8Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi
- 23B. Thomas-Asante
- 4B. Thomas
- 3J. Dasilva
- 2E. Pinnock
- 27M. van Ewijk
- 19C. Rushworth
Leeds
3-4-2-1- 9D. Calvert-Lewin
- 4E. Ampadu
- 2J. Bogle
- 18A. Stach
- 19N. Okafor
- 22A. Tanaka
- 3G. Gudmundsson
- 5T. Muharemović
- 24J. Justin
- 30N. Elvedi
- 1J. Trafford
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 08:54 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Coventry have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Leeds have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Newcastle(home) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Brighton(home) | 0-5 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Manchester City(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Arsenal(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Crystal Palace(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Newcastle(home) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Chelsea(away) | 3-6 | League Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Brighton(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Coventry wins, 2 draws, 2 Leeds wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2025 | Coventry 0-2 Leeds | Championship |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Leeds 3-0 Coventry | Championship |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Coventry 2-1 Leeds | Championship |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Leeds 1-1 Coventry | Championship |
| Feb 14, 2012 | Coventry 2-1 Leeds | Championship |
| Oct 18, 2011 | Leeds 1-1 Coventry | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Coventry score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Leeds score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Leeds | 1.8 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Coventry sit 14th in Premier League (6 points from 6 matches) and Leeds sit 7th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Leeds | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 14 | Coventry | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 6 |
A question about Coventry vs Leeds?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Coventry vs Leeds?
- The Footlab AI model makes Leeds the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Coventry.
- Where and when is Coventry vs Leeds played?
- Coventry vs Leeds is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Coventry Building Society Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.