Korona Kielce vs Cracovia Krakow: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)EXBUD Arena, Kielce
The Footlab model makes Korona Kielce the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Cracovia Krakow. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Korona Kielce vs Cracovia Krakow?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Korona Kielce (1,947) and Cracovia Krakow (1,949).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Korona Kielce have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Cracovia Krakow have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Motor Lublin(home) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Widzew Łódź(away) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(home) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Jagiellonia(away) | 0-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Nieciecza(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Wieczysta Kraków(home) | 3-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin(home) | 0-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lech Poznan(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Korona Kielce win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Cracovia Krakow win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Cracovia Krakow 1-1 Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Korona Kielce 0-1 Cracovia Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Feb 14, 2025 | Cracovia Krakow 1-1 Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Korona Kielce 0-2 Cracovia Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Korona Kielce 1-1 Cracovia Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Cracovia Krakow 0-0 Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Cracovia Krakow vs Korona Kielce on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Korona Kielce score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Cracovia Krakow score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Korona Kielce | 0.9 | 0.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 2/15 |
| Cracovia Krakow | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Korona Kielce sit 11th in Ekstraklasa (5 points from 4 matches) and Cracovia Krakow sit 3rd (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cracovia Krakow | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 8 |
| 11 | Korona Kielce | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Korona Kielce vs Cracovia Krakow?
- The Footlab model makes Korona Kielce the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Cracovia Krakow.
- Where and when is Korona Kielce vs Cracovia Krakow played?
- Korona Kielce vs Cracovia Krakow is played on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at EXBUD Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026JagielloniavsRadomiak Radom
- Nov 28, 2026Slask WroclawvsGKS Katowice
- Nov 28, 2026Wisla KrakowvsMotor Lublin
- Nov 28, 2026Legia WarszawavsWieczysta Kraków
- Nov 28, 2026Gornik ZabrzevsWisla Plock
- Nov 28, 2026Lech PoznanvsPogon Szczecin
- Nov 28, 2026Raków CzęstochowavsPiast Gliwice
- Nov 28, 2026Widzew ŁódźvsZaglebie Lubin