Match

Crawley Town vs Grimsby: prediction and stats

League TwoRegular Season - 42Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Broadfield Stadium, Crawley, West Sussex

Crawley TownGrimsby

The Footlab AI model makes Grimsby the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Crawley Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Grimsby wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Crawley Town vs Grimsby?

Grimsby starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,824 vs 1,681).

32%28%40%
Crawley Town winDrawGrimsby win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Crawley Town vs Grimsby

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Crawley Town

4-4-2
  1. 9D. Orsi
  2. 8L. Watson
  1. 20J. Arthurs
  2. 22A. Adeyemo
  3. 30Kai Jennings
  4. 10S. Duke-McKenna
  1. 6P. Farquharson
  2. 24A. Odimayo
  3. 5C. Barker
  4. 12L. Richards
  1. 1V. Mannone

Grimsby

4-1-4-1
  1. 39A. Cook
  1. 4K. Green
  2. 30C. Vernam
  3. 28F. Cartwright
  4. 14J. Amaluzor
  5. 15G. Turi
  1. 3J. Sweeney
  2. 5H. Rodgers
  3. 17C. McJannet
  4. 2M. Kacurri
  1. 31C. Pym

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 12:32 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crawley Town have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Grimsby have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Crawley Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Chesterfield(home)2-2League Two
Oct 6, 2026Bromley(home)4-0EFL Trophy
Sep 22, 2026Milton Keynes Dons(away)1-4EFL Trophy
Sep 19, 2026Grimsby(away)0-2League Two
Sep 12, 2026Cheltenham(home)1-3League Two
Grimsby
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Port Vale(away)0-1League Two
Oct 6, 2026Burton Albion(home)0-0EFL Trophy
Oct 3, 2026Shrewsbury(home)1-2League Two
Sep 26, 2026Newport County(away)1-2League Two
Sep 22, 2026Notts County(away)1-2EFL Trophy

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Crawley Town wins, 1 draw, 3 Grimsby wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 19, 2026Grimsby 2-0 Crawley TownLeague Two
Apr 6, 2026Crawley Town 0-2 GrimsbyLeague Two
Aug 2, 2025Grimsby 3-0 Crawley TownLeague Two
Apr 27, 2024Crawley Town 2-0 GrimsbyLeague Two
Sep 23, 2023Grimsby 2-3 Crawley TownLeague Two
Mar 28, 2023Crawley Town 1-1 GrimsbyLeague Two

Last archived meeting: Grimsby vs Crawley Town on Sep 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Crawley Town score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Grimsby score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Crawley Town1.11.637/157/15
Grimsby1.31.268/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Crawley Town sit 24th in League Two (5 points from 8 matches) and Grimsby sit 11th (13 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Grimsby10343131113
24Crawley Town81258155

A question about Crawley Town vs Grimsby?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Crawley Town vs Grimsby?
The Footlab AI model makes Grimsby the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Crawley Town.
Where and when is Crawley Town vs Grimsby played?
Crawley Town vs Grimsby is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Broadfield Stadium, in the League Two.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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