Bristol Rovers vs Gillingham: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 42Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Memorial Stadium, Bristol, Gloucestershire
The Footlab AI model makes Bristol Rovers the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Gillingham. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bristol Rovers wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bristol Rovers vs Gillingham?
On Elo ratings, Bristol Rovers has 1,762 points and Gillingham 1,751.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bristol Rovers vs Gillingham
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bristol Rovers
4-2-3-1- 29F. Cavegn
- 6C. Mola
- 19E. Harrison
- 7S. Forde
- 24T. Leigh
- 21R. Smallwood
- 2T. James
- 4K. Balmer
- 17C. Kelly
- 14B. Purrington
- 1Brad Young
Gillingham
3-4-3- 10Ronan Hale
- 24H. Waldock
- 11L. Sillah
- 16J. Brophy
- 22N. Freeman
- 14R. McKenzie
- 8A. Little
- 5A. Smith
- 26L. Dobbs
- 19O. Beckles
- 40R. Luthra
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:12 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bristol Rovers have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Gillingham have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Barnet(home) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 1-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Crewe(away) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Exeter City(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Gillingham(away) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Brighton U21(home) | 4-3 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rotherham(away) | 4-1 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Newport County(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | York(away) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Cambridge United(home) | 1-4 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Bristol Rovers win, 1 draw, 4 Gillingham wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Gillingham 3-0 Bristol Rovers | League Two |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Gillingham 1-2 Bristol Rovers | League Two |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Bristol Rovers 0-1 Gillingham | League Two |
| Feb 20, 2021 | Gillingham 2-0 Bristol Rovers | League One |
| Dec 2, 2020 | Bristol Rovers 0-2 Gillingham | League One |
| Sep 17, 2019 | Bristol Rovers 1-1 Gillingham | League One |
Last archived meeting: Gillingham vs Bristol Rovers on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bristol Rovers score 1.4 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Gillingham score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol Rovers | 1.4 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Gillingham | 1.5 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bristol Rovers sit 9th in League Two (15 points from 10 matches) and Gillingham sit 4th (16 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Gillingham | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 16 |
| 9 | Bristol Rovers | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 15 |
A question about Bristol Rovers vs Gillingham?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bristol Rovers vs Gillingham?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bristol Rovers the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Gillingham.
- Where and when is Bristol Rovers vs Gillingham played?
- Bristol Rovers vs Gillingham is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Memorial Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.