Newport County vs Accrington ST: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 42Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Rodney Parade, Casnewydd
The Footlab AI model makes Newport County the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Accrington ST. The most likely score is 1-1. If Newport County wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,788 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newport County vs Accrington ST?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Newport County (1,741) and Accrington ST (1,716).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Newport County vs Accrington ST
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Newport County
4-2-3-1- 19G. Garner
- 10H. Biggins
- 6C. Brennan
- 23M. Adu-Poku
- 20Y. Bamba
- 24M. Dibley-Dias
- 22C. Norman
- 5L. Jenkins
- 4K. Cameron
- 12Joe Thomas
- 1J. Wright
Accrington ST
3-4-1-2- 23T. Walton
- 30C. Warren
- 33D. Tutonda
- 14Stefan Mols
- 16Aidan Borland
- 38C. O'Brien
- 39J. Woods
- 17D. Matthews
- 2D. Love
- 5F. Rawson
- 1L. Moulden
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newport County have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Accrington ST have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Crystal Palace U21(home) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Chesterfield(home) | 4-1 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Cheltenham(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Rotherham(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | York(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Northampton(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Rochdale(away) | 5-0 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | York(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Gillingham(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Oldham(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Newport County wins, 1 draw, 3 Accrington ST wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Accrington ST 0-0 Newport County | League Two |
| Jan 27, 2026 | Newport County 1-4 Accrington ST | League Two |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Accrington ST 0-1 Newport County | League Two |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Accrington ST 5-0 Newport County | League Two |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Newport County 3-1 Accrington ST | League Two |
| Apr 9, 2024 | Newport County 1-3 Accrington ST | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Accrington ST vs Newport County on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Newport County score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Accrington ST score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newport County | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Accrington ST | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newport County sit 14th in League Two (18 points from 14 matches) and Accrington ST sit 9th (19 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Accrington ST | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 17 | 19 |
| 14 | Newport County | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 18 |
A question about Newport County vs Accrington ST?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newport County vs Accrington ST?
- The Footlab AI model makes Newport County the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Accrington ST.
- Where and when is Newport County vs Accrington ST played?
- Newport County vs Accrington ST is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Rodney Parade, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.