Shrewsbury vs Crewe: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 42Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Croud Meadow, Shrewsbury, Shropshire
The Footlab model makes Crewe the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Shrewsbury. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shrewsbury vs Crewe?
Crewe starts as the favourite with a 140-point Elo edge (1,784 vs 1,644).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shrewsbury have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Crewe have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 0-4 | League Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Barnet(home) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tranmere(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Salford City(away) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Hereford(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Barnsley(away) | 2-3 | League Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Northampton(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Crawley Town(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Accrington ST(home) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chester(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Shrewsbury win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Crewe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Shrewsbury 0-4 Crewe | League Two |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Crewe 3-1 Shrewsbury | League Two |
| Jan 15, 2022 | Crewe 0-0 Shrewsbury | League One |
| Sep 11, 2021 | Shrewsbury 1-1 Crewe | League One |
| Aug 31, 2021 | Shrewsbury 0-1 Crewe | EFL Trophy |
| May 9, 2021 | Crewe 3-2 Shrewsbury | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Shrewsbury score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Crewe score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shrewsbury | 0.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Crewe | 1.2 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shrewsbury sit 24th in League Two (0 points from 2 matches) and Crewe sit 2nd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Crewe | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 24 | Shrewsbury | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shrewsbury vs Crewe?
- The Footlab model makes Crewe the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Shrewsbury.
- Where and when is Shrewsbury vs Crewe played?
- Shrewsbury vs Crewe is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Croud Meadow, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.