Grimsby vs Newport County: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 43Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Blundell Park, Cleethorpes, North East Lincolnshire
The Footlab AI model makes Grimsby the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Newport County. The most likely score is 1-1. If Grimsby wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Grimsby vs Newport County?
On Elo ratings, Grimsby has 1,848 points and Newport County 1,809.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Grimsby vs Newport County
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Grimsby
4-1-4-1- 39A. Cook
- 4K. Green
- 30C. Vernam
- 28F. Cartwright
- 14J. Amaluzor
- 15G. Turi
- 3J. Sweeney
- 5H. Rodgers
- 17C. McJannet
- 2M. Kacurri
- 31C. Pym
Newport County
4-2-3-1- 27C. Doidge
- 10H. Biggins
- 6C. Brennan
- 24M. Dibley-Dias
- 23M. Adu-Poku
- 9S. Gwengwe
- 22C. Norman
- 5L. Jenkins
- 4K. Cameron
- 16M. Jacob
- 1J. Wright
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Grimsby have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Newport County have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Port Vale(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Burton Albion(home) | 0-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Shrewsbury(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Newport County(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Notts County(away) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Colchester(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Plymouth(home) | 2-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gillingham(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Grimsby(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Swindon Town(away) | 2-0 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Grimsby wins, 2 draws, 1 Newport County win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Newport County 2-1 Grimsby | League Two |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Newport County 0-0 Grimsby | League Two |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Grimsby 2-1 Newport County | League Two |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Grimsby 1-0 Newport County | League Two |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Newport County 0-0 Grimsby | League Two |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Grimsby 1-0 Newport County | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Newport County vs Grimsby on Sep 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Grimsby score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Newport County score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grimsby | 1.3 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Newport County | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Grimsby sit 11th in League Two (13 points from 10 matches) and Newport County sit 12th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Grimsby | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 13 |
| 12 | Newport County | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 13 |
A question about Grimsby vs Newport County?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Grimsby vs Newport County?
- The Footlab AI model makes Grimsby the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Newport County.
- Where and when is Grimsby vs Newport County played?
- Grimsby vs Newport County is played on April 24, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Blundell Park, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.