Rotherham vs Northampton: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 42Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)AESSEAL New York Stadium, Rotherham, South Yorkshire
The Footlab AI model makes Rotherham the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Northampton. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rotherham wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rotherham vs Northampton?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Rotherham (1,710) and Northampton (1,675).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rotherham vs Northampton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rotherham
4-2-3-1- 10P. Mullin
- 4J. Austerfield
- 6O. Ashley
- 24J. Buyabu
- 8K. Spence
- 28Brandon Ashley Cover
- 12D. Hall
- 14Sonny Aljofree
- 27D. Iorfa
- 5K. Ngwenya
- 13J. Eyestone
Northampton
4-4-2- 19O. Dale
- 9Matthew Warhurst
- 16J. Wormleighton
- 4J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh
- 8L. Evans
- 24C. Lemonheigh-Evans
- 6E. Moore
- 5J. Guthrie
- 22Joshua Alan Powell
- 44J. Donacien
- 1Z. Jeacock
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 12:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rotherham have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Northampton have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gillingham(home) | 1-4 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Exeter City(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Crewe(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | York(away) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | York(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Cambridge United(away) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rotherham(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Newport County(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Rotherham wins, 0 draws, 0 Northampton wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Northampton 0-1 Rotherham | League Two |
| Jan 27, 2026 | Rotherham 2-1 Northampton | League One |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Northampton 1-2 Rotherham | League One |
| Apr 1, 2025 | Northampton 0-2 Rotherham | League One |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Rotherham 3-0 Northampton | League One |
| Mar 17, 2018 | Northampton 0-3 Rotherham | League One |
Last archived meeting: Northampton vs Rotherham on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rotherham score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Northampton score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rotherham | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Northampton | 0.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rotherham sit 20th in League Two (10 points from 10 matches) and Northampton sit 23rd (7 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Rotherham | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 10 |
| 23 | Northampton | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
A question about Rotherham vs Northampton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rotherham vs Northampton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rotherham the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Northampton.
- Where and when is Rotherham vs Northampton played?
- Rotherham vs Northampton is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at AESSEAL New York Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.