Almazán vs Arandina: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de la Arboleda, Almazán
The Footlab AI model makes Almazán the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Arandina. The most likely score is 1-1. If Almazán wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Almazán vs Arandina?
On Elo ratings, Almazán has 1,774 points and Arandina 1,736.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Almazán vs Arandina
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Almazán
Not enough data to predict the Almazán lineup.
Arandina
Not enough data to predict the Arandina lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 12:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almazán have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Arandina have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Burgos Promesas(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa II(away) | 2-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Palencia CF(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Colegios Diocesanos(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Villaralbo(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bembibre(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cristo Atlético(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Turégano(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Calasanz de Soria(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Salamanca II(away) | 4-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Almazán wins, 5 draws, 1 Arandina win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Arandina 1-1 Almazán | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Almazán 1-3 Arandina | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Arandina 1-1 Almazán | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Almazán 0-0 Arandina | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Arandina 2-2 Almazán | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Feb 5, 2023 | Almazán 1-1 Arandina | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
How many goals should we expect?
Almazán score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Arandina score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almazán | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Arandina | 1.5 | 1.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Almazán sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (10 points from 7 matches) and Arandina sit 10th (9 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Almazán | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 12 | 10 |
| 10 | Arandina | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 9 |
A question about Almazán vs Arandina?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Almazán vs Arandina?
- The Footlab AI model makes Almazán the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Arandina.
- Where and when is Almazán vs Arandina played?
- Almazán vs Arandina is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de la Arboleda, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 24, 2027Burgos PromesasvsColegios Diocesanos
- Jan 24, 2027Cristo AtléticovsAtlético Mansillés
- Jan 24, 2027Cultural Leonesa IIvsPalencia CF
- Jan 24, 2027Mirandés IIvsBembibre
- Jan 24, 2027Salamanca IIvsUnionistas II
- Jan 24, 2027UD Santa MartavsVillaralbo
- Jan 24, 2027TuréganovsGuijuelo
- Jan 24, 2027Calasanz de SoriavsLa Virgen del Camino