Where and when is Almazán vs Arandina played?

Almazán vs Arandina is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de la Arboleda, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Almazán vs Arandina: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de la Arboleda, Almazán

Almazán

Arandina

The Footlab model makes Almazán the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Arandina. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Almazán vs Arandina?

A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Almazán (1,765) and Arandina (1,717).

Almazán win60 %

Draw23 %

Arandina win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almazán have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Arandina have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Almazán
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	UD Santa Marta(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 1, 2026	La Virgen del Camino(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026	Atlético Mansillés(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 23, 2026	Atlético Mansillés(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 19, 2026	Atlético Tordesillas(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Arandina
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Becerril Campos(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026	Mirandés II(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026	Bembibre(home)	3-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026	UD Santa Marta(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 11, 2026	La Virgen del Camino(home)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Almazán win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Arandina win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 25, 2026	Almazán 1-3 Arandina	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Sep 13, 2025	Arandina 1-1 Almazán	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Feb 16, 2025	Almazán 0-0 Arandina	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 6, 2024	Arandina 2-2 Almazán	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Feb 5, 2023	Almazán 1-1 Arandina	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 2, 2022	Arandina 2-1 Almazán	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Almazán vs Arandina on Jan 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Almazán score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Arandina score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Almazán	1.7	0.9	4	7/15	7/15
Arandina	1.3	1.5	2	9/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Almazán sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (48 points from 34 matches) and Arandina sit 12th (37 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Almazán	34	12	12	10	49	38	48
12	Arandina	34	9	10	15	32	46	37

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Almazán vs Arandina?: The Footlab model makes Almazán the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Arandina.
Where and when is Almazán vs Arandina played?: Almazán vs Arandina is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de la Arboleda, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.