Mirandés II vs Bembibre: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Anduva, Miranda de Ebro
The Footlab model makes Mirandés II the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Bembibre. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mirandés II vs Bembibre?
Mirandés II starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,757 vs 1,657).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mirandés II have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Bembibre have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Villaralbo(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 2, 2026 | Arandina(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Colegios Diocesanos(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Bembibre(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Unionistas II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Palencia CF(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 2, 2026 | Becerril Campos(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Arandina(away) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Mirandés II(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | UD Santa Marta(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Mirandés II win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Bembibre win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Mirandés II 2-2 Bembibre | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Bembibre 1-0 Mirandés II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Mirandés II 1-2 Bembibre | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Bembibre 2-2 Mirandés II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 5, 2024 | Bembibre 3-1 Mirandés II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Mirandés II 1-2 Bembibre | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Mirandés II vs Bembibre on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mirandés II score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bembibre score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mirandés II | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Bembibre | 1.3 | 1.6 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mirandés II sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (47 points from 34 matches) and Bembibre sit 14th (34 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mirandés II | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 47 |
| 14 | Bembibre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 38 | 52 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mirandés II vs Bembibre?
- The Footlab model makes Mirandés II the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Bembibre.
- Where and when is Mirandés II vs Bembibre played?
- Mirandés II vs Bembibre is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Anduva, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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