Match

Mirandés II vs Bembibre: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Anduva, Miranda de Ebro

Mirandés IIBembibre

The Footlab model makes Mirandés II the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Bembibre. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mirandés II vs Bembibre?

Mirandés II starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,757 vs 1,657).

Mirandés II win59 %
Draw23 %
Bembibre win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mirandés II have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Bembibre have 3, 7 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mirandés II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Villaralbo(home)4-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026Arandina(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 25, 2026Colegios Diocesanos(away)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026Bembibre(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 11, 2026Unionistas II(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Bembibre
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Palencia CF(away)1-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026Becerril Campos(home)4-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026Arandina(away)3-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026Mirandés II(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 11, 2026UD Santa Marta(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Mirandés II win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Bembibre win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Mirandés II 2-2 BembibreTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Dec 14, 2025Bembibre 1-0 Mirandés IITercera División RFEF - Group 8
Mar 15, 2025Mirandés II 1-2 BembibreTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 27, 2024Bembibre 2-2 Mirandés IITercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 5, 2024Bembibre 3-1 Mirandés IITercera División RFEF - Group 8
Jan 13, 2024Mirandés II 1-2 BembibreTercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Mirandés II vs Bembibre on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mirandés II score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bembibre score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mirandés II1.31.5210/158/15
Bembibre1.31.659/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mirandés II sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (47 points from 34 matches) and Bembibre sit 14th (34 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Mirandés II3413813433547
14Bembibre3481016385234

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mirandés II vs Bembibre?
The Footlab model makes Mirandés II the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Bembibre.
Where and when is Mirandés II vs Bembibre played?
Mirandés II vs Bembibre is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Anduva, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Mirandés II and Bembibre

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