Croatia U17 vs Belgium U17: prediction and stats
UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on November 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Branko Čavlović-Čavlek, Karlovac
The Footlab model makes Croatia U17 the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Belgium U17. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Croatia U17 vs Belgium U17?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Croatia U17 (1,632) and Belgium U17 (1,665).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Croatia U17 have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Belgium U17 have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Spain U17(away) | 3-2 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| May 28, 2026 | Estonia U17(away) | 3-1 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| May 25, 2026 | Belgium U17(home) | 0-2 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Poland U17(away) | 1-1 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Republic of Ireland U17(away) | 2-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Italy U17(home) | 1-1 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| Jun 4, 2026 | France U17(home) | 2-1 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| May 31, 2026 | Estonia U17(home) | 1-0 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| May 28, 2026 | Spain U17(home) | 0-1 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| May 25, 2026 | Croatia U17(away) | 2-0 | UEFA U17 Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Croatia U17 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Belgium U17 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | Croatia U17 0-2 Belgium U17 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| Mar 25, 2023 | Belgium U17 0-1 Croatia U17 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
Last archived meeting: Croatia U17 vs Belgium U17 on May 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Croatia U17 score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Belgium U17 score 2.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Croatia U17 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Belgium U17 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Croatia U17 sit 1st in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (7 points from 3 matches) and Belgium U17 sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgium U17 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| 1 | Croatia U17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Croatia U17 vs Belgium U17?
- The Footlab model makes Croatia U17 the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Belgium U17.
- Where and when is Croatia U17 vs Belgium U17 played?
- Croatia U17 vs Belgium U17 is played on November 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Branko Čavlović-Čavlek, in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 23, 2026Iceland U17vsGibraltar U17
- Sep 23, 2026Bosnia-Herzegovina U17vsGreece U17
- Sep 26, 2026Greece U17vsGibraltar U17
- Sep 26, 2026Iceland U17vsBosnia-Herzegovina U17
- Sep 29, 2026Gibraltar U17vsBosnia-Herzegovina U17
- Sep 29, 2026Greece U17vsIceland U17
- Oct 12, 2026Israel U17vsSwitzerland U17
- Oct 12, 2026Spain U17vsLiechtenstein U17