Croatia vs Italy: result 1-1 and analysis
Euro ChampionshipGroup B - 3Kick-off on June 24, 2024 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
Full time
What was the result of Croatia vs Italy?
Croatia and Italy drew 1-1 on June 24, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 55′L. ModrićCroatia
- 90′M. ZaccagniItaly
Official lineup for Croatia vs Italy
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Croatia
4-3-3- 15Mario Pasalic
- 9A. Kramarić
- 25L. Sučić
- 8M. Kovačić
- 11M. Brozović
- 10L. Modrić
- 4J. Gvardiol
- 3M. Pongračić
- 6J. Šutalo
- 2J. Stanišić
- 1D. Livaković
Italy
3-1-4-2- 19M. Retegui
- 11G. Raspadori
- 3F. Dimarco
- 10L. Pellegrini
- 18N. Barella
- 2G. Di Lorenzo
- 8Jorginho
- 5R. Calafiori
- 23A. Bastoni
- 13M. Darmian
- 1G. Donnarumma
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Croatia have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Italy have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 19, 2024 | Albania(home) | 2-2 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 15, 2024 | Spain(away) | 0-3 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 8, 2024 | Portugal(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 3, 2024 | FYR Macedonia(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 26, 2024 | Egypt(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2024 | Spain(away) | 0-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 15, 2024 | Albania(home) | 2-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 9, 2024 | Bosnia & Herzegovina(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 4, 2024 | Türkiye(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 24, 2024 | Ecuador(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Croatia wins, 1 draw, 0 Italy wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2012 | Italy 1-1 Croatia | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Croatia score 1.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Italy score 1.7 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Croatia | 1.8 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Italy | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Croatia sit 3rd in Euro Championship (2 points from 3 matches) and Italy sit 2nd (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Italy | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Croatia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
A question about Croatia vs Italy?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy