Croatia vs Wales: result 1-1 and analysis
Euro Championship - QualificationQualifying Round - 1Kick-off on March 25, 2023 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Stadion Poljud, Split
Full time
What was the result of Croatia vs Wales?
Croatia and Wales drew 1-1 on March 25, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 28′A. KramarićCroatia
- 90′N. BroadheadWales
Official lineup for Croatia vs Wales
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Croatia
4-3-3- 14I. Perišić
- 20M. Livaja
- 9A. Kramarić
- 8M. Kovačić
- 11M. Brozović
- 10L. Modrić
- 19B. Sosa
- 4J. Gvardiol
- 6J. Šutalo
- 22J. Juranović
- 1D. Livaković
Wales
4-4-1-1- 13K. Moore
- 10A. Ramsey
- 20D. James
- 15E. Ampadu
- 16J. Morrell
- 8H. Wilson
- 3N. Williams
- 6J. Rodon
- 5C. Mepham
- 14C. Roberts
- 12D. Ward
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Croatia have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Wales have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2022 | Morocco(home) | 2-1 | World Cup |
| Dec 13, 2022 | Argentina(away) | 0-3 | World Cup |
| Dec 9, 2022 | Brazil(home) | 1-1 | World Cup |
| Dec 5, 2022 | Japan(away) | 1-1 | World Cup |
| Dec 1, 2022 | Belgium(home) | 0-0 | World Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2022 | England(home) | 0-3 | World Cup |
| Nov 25, 2022 | Iran(home) | 0-2 | World Cup |
| Nov 21, 2022 | USA(away) | 1-1 | World Cup |
| Sep 25, 2022 | Poland(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 22, 2022 | Belgium(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Croatia win, 1 draw, 0 Wales wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2019 | Wales 1-1 Croatia | Euro Championship |
| Jun 8, 2019 | Croatia 2-1 Wales | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Croatia score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Wales score 1.2 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Croatia | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Wales | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Croatia sit 2nd in Euro Championship - Qualification (16 points from 8 matches) and Wales sit 3rd (12 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Croatia | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Wales | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 12 |
A question about Croatia vs Wales?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy