Cruzeiro vs Bahia: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 20Kick-off on September 11, 2014 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais
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What was the result of Cruzeiro vs Bahia?
Cruzeiro won 2-1 on September 11, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 30′Rafael Miranda da ConceiçãoBahia
- 54′Éverton RibeiroCruzeiro (pen.)
- 71′Ricardo GoulartCruzeiro
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cruzeiro have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Bahia have 1, 7 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2014 | Fluminense(away) | 3-3 | Serie A |
| Aug 30, 2014 | Chapecoense-sc(home) | 4-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 24, 2014 | Goias(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 21, 2014 | Gremio(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 17, 2014 | Santos(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2014 | Coritiba(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 31, 2014 | Gremio(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 24, 2014 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 21, 2014 | Criciuma(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 17, 2014 | Corinthians(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Cruzeiro win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Bahia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2014 | Bahia 1-2 Cruzeiro | Serie A |
| Dec 1, 2013 | Cruzeiro 1-2 Bahia | Serie A |
| Sep 5, 2013 | Bahia 1-3 Cruzeiro | Serie A |
| Nov 11, 2012 | Cruzeiro 3-1 Bahia | Serie A |
| Aug 11, 2012 | Bahia 0-1 Cruzeiro | Serie A |
| Oct 13, 2011 | Bahia 0-0 Cruzeiro | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Cruzeiro score 2.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Bahia score 0.4 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruzeiro | 2.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Bahia | 0.4 | 0.9 | 4 | 5/15 | 1/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cruzeiro sit 5th in Serie A (39 points from 24 matches) and Bahia sit 6th (37 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cruzeiro | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 39 |
| 6 | Bahia | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 28 | 37 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy