Real Sociedad vs Sevilla: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Reale Arena, Donostia-San Sebastián
The Footlab AI model makes Real Sociedad the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Sevilla. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Sociedad wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,954 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Sociedad vs Sevilla?
On Elo ratings, Real Sociedad has 2,133 points and Sevilla 2,049.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Real Sociedad vs Sevilla
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Real Sociedad
4-4-2- 10Mikel Oyarzabal
- 24L. Sučić
- 4Jon Gorrotxategi
- 11Gonçalo Guedes
- 7Barrenetxea
- 18Carlos Soler
- 19M. Sarr
- 17Sergio Gómez
- 6Jon Martín
- 2J. Aramburu
- 1Álex Remiro
Sevilla
4-2-3-1- 19L. Stassin
- 6L. Agoumé
- 24Y. Fofana
- 20Félix Correia
- 16Isaac
- 11R. Vargas
- 17G. Suazo
- 2Juan Iglesias
- 4Kike Salas
- 5Andrés Castrín
- 1O. Vlachodimos
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 04:36 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Sociedad have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Sevilla have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Lyon(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Athletic Club(away) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Levante(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Lillestrom(away) | 6-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Malaga(away) | 5-2 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Alaves(home) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Getafe(away) | 1-3 | La Liga |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Hortaleza(away) | 3-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Osasuna(home) | 2-0 | La Liga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Real Madrid(away) | 1-4 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Real Sociedad wins, 0 draws, 3 Sevilla wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2026 | Sevilla 1-0 Real Sociedad | La Liga |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Real Sociedad 2-1 Sevilla | La Liga |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Real Sociedad 0-1 Sevilla | La Liga |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Sevilla 0-2 Real Sociedad | La Liga |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Sevilla 3-2 Real Sociedad | La Liga |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Real Sociedad 2-1 Sevilla | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Sevilla vs Real Sociedad on May 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Sociedad score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Sevilla score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | 1.9 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Sevilla | 1.5 | 1.6 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Sociedad sit 5th in La Liga (19 points from 11 matches) and Sevilla sit 6th (18 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 19 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 19 | 18 |
A question about Real Sociedad vs Sevilla?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Sociedad vs Sevilla?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real Sociedad the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Sevilla.
- Where and when is Real Sociedad vs Sevilla played?
- Real Sociedad vs Sevilla is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Reale Arena, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.