CSKA Pomir vs Ravshan: prediction and stats
Vysshaya LigaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Politekhnikum (CSKA MO RT), Dushanbe
The Footlab model makes CSKA Pomir the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Ravshan. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CSKA Pomir vs Ravshan?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate CSKA Pomir (1,466) and Ravshan (1,474).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CSKA Pomir have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Ravshan have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Khatlon(home) | 1-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Khujand(away) | 1-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Khosilot Farkhor(home) | 2-3 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Parvoz(home) | 1-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| May 16, 2026 | Regar-TadAZ(home) | 1-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Istiqlol(home) | 0-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Barki Tajik(away) | 1-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Regar-TadAZ(home) | 0-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Khatlon(away) | 2-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| May 22, 2026 | Sardor Tursunzoda(home) | 3-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 CSKA Pomir win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Ravshan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ravshan 0-1 CSKA Pomir | Vysshaya Liga |
| Sep 28, 2025 | CSKA Pomir 0-1 Ravshan | Vysshaya Liga |
| May 4, 2025 | Ravshan 0-0 CSKA Pomir | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Ravshan 1-0 CSKA Pomir | Vysshaya Liga |
| Apr 20, 2024 | CSKA Pomir 0-0 Ravshan | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Ravshan 1-0 CSKA Pomir | Vysshaya Liga |
Last archived meeting: Ravshan vs CSKA Pomir on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CSKA Pomir score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ravshan score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Pomir | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Ravshan | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CSKA Pomir sit 4th in Vysshaya Liga (21 points from 13 matches) and Ravshan sit 7th (18 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | CSKA Pomir | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 21 |
| 7 | Ravshan | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CSKA Pomir vs Ravshan?
- The Footlab model makes CSKA Pomir the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Ravshan.
- Where and when is CSKA Pomir vs Ravshan played?
- CSKA Pomir vs Ravshan is played on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Politekhnikum (CSKA MO RT), in the Vysshaya Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.