Eskhata vs Istaravshan: prediction and stats
Vysshaya LigaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion 20-letie Nezavisimosti, Khujand
The Footlab model makes Eskhata the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Istaravshan. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eskhata vs Istaravshan?
Eskhata starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (1,367 vs 1,233).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eskhata have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Istaravshan have 0, 5 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Barki Tajik(home) | 2-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Khatlon(away) | 2-4 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Khujand(home) | 0-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Khosilot Farkhor(home) | 1-6 | Vysshaya Liga |
| May 22, 2026 | Parvoz(away) | 2-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Khujand(home) | 0-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Khosilot Farkhor(away) | 2-5 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Parvoz(home) | 1-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Sardor Tursunzoda(home) | 1-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Istiqlol(home) | 1-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Eskhata win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Istaravshan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Istaravshan 0-1 Eskhata | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Eskhata 0-0 Istaravshan | Vysshaya Liga |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Istaravshan 2-2 Eskhata | Vysshaya Liga |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Istaravshan 0-1 Eskhata | Vysshaya Liga |
| May 12, 2024 | Eskhata 2-2 Istaravshan | Vysshaya Liga |
| Nov 10, 2022 | Eskhata 3-0 Istaravshan | Vysshaya Liga |
Last archived meeting: Istaravshan vs Eskhata on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Eskhata score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Istaravshan score 0.8 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eskhata | 1.3 | 2.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Istaravshan | 0.8 | 2.0 | 1 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eskhata sit 9th in Vysshaya Liga (15 points from 14 matches) and Istaravshan sit 12th (5 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Eskhata | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 15 |
| 12 | Istaravshan | 13 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eskhata vs Istaravshan?
- The Footlab model makes Eskhata the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Istaravshan.
- Where and when is Eskhata vs Istaravshan played?
- Eskhata vs Istaravshan is played on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion 20-letie Nezavisimosti, in the Vysshaya Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.