CSKA Sofia vs Levski Sofia: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Bâlgarska Armija, Sofia
The Footlab model makes Levski Sofia the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for CSKA Sofia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CSKA Sofia vs Levski Sofia?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate CSKA Sofia (1,950) and Levski Sofia (2,050).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CSKA Sofia have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Levski Sofia have 11, 4 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | OFI(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(home) | 5-0 | First League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Maccabi Tel Aviv(home) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia(away) | 3-0 | First League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Maccabi Tel Aviv(away) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Spartak Varna(home) | 6-0 | First League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Kairat Almaty(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Kairat Almaty(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 CSKA Sofia win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Levski Sofia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Levski Sofia 2-0 CSKA Sofia | First League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | CSKA Sofia 1-3 Levski Sofia | First League |
| Apr 13, 2026 | CSKA Sofia 1-1 Levski Sofia | First League |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Levski Sofia 0-1 CSKA Sofia | First League |
| Mar 2, 2025 | CSKA Sofia 2-2 Levski Sofia | First League |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Levski Sofia 1-0 CSKA Sofia | First League |
Last archived meeting: Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CSKA Sofia score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Levski Sofia score 2.5 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Sofia | 1.7 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
| Levski Sofia | 2.5 | 0.4 | 10 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CSKA Sofia sit 3rd in First League (13 points from 5 matches) and Levski Sofia sit 2nd (15 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Levski Sofia | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 3 | CSKA Sofia | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CSKA Sofia vs Levski Sofia?
- The Footlab model makes Levski Sofia the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for CSKA Sofia.
- Where and when is CSKA Sofia vs Levski Sofia played?
- CSKA Sofia vs Levski Sofia is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Bâlgarska Armija, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.