CSKA 1948 vs Ludogorets: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Vitosha, Bistrica
The Footlab model makes Ludogorets the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for CSKA 1948. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CSKA 1948 vs Ludogorets?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate CSKA 1948 (1,901) and Ludogorets (1,987).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CSKA 1948 have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Ludogorets have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(home) | 4-1 | First League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Panathinaikos(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(away) | 3-1 | First League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Panathinaikos(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slavia Sofia(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(away) | 3-2 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Hapoel Tel Aviv(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 CSKA 1948 win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Ludogorets win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | CSKA 1948 1-0 Ludogorets | First League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Ludogorets 1-2 CSKA 1948 | First League |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Ludogorets 3-0 CSKA 1948 | First League |
| Oct 27, 2025 | CSKA 1948 5-4 Ludogorets | First League |
| Apr 7, 2025 | CSKA 1948 1-3 Ludogorets | First League |
| Dec 16, 2024 | CSKA 1948 2-3 Ludogorets | Cup |
Last archived meeting: CSKA 1948 vs Ludogorets on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CSKA 1948 score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ludogorets score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA 1948 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Ludogorets | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CSKA 1948 sit 4th in First League (13 points from 6 matches) and Ludogorets sit 1st (16 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ludogorets | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CSKA 1948 vs Ludogorets?
- The Footlab model makes Ludogorets the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for CSKA 1948.
- Where and when is CSKA 1948 vs Ludogorets played?
- CSKA 1948 vs Ludogorets is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Vitosha, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.