Dunav Ruse vs Botev Plovdiv: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gradski Stadion, Rousse
The Footlab AI model makes Botev Plovdiv the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Dunav Ruse. The most likely score is 1-1. If Botev Plovdiv wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,615 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dunav Ruse vs Botev Plovdiv?
Botev Plovdiv starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,797 vs 1,682).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dunav Ruse vs Botev Plovdiv
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dunav Ruse
3-5-2- 9Álex Valiño
- 11D. Minchev
- 14R. Apostolov
- 23Jordan Layn Saint-Louis
- 10K. Boychev
- 44V. Vidaković
- 17N. Fonkeu
- 88D. Todorov
- 5K. Antoniou
- 4J. Cabarcas
- 33G. Kitanov
Botev Plovdiv
4-2-3-1- 90S. Kalu
- 10A. Chandarov
- 77Lucas Araújo
- 7Alberto Salido
- 16V. Vidolov
- 13S. Tsonov
- 87S. Petrov
- 27B. Hein
- 82V. Mendes
- 4N. Soldo
- 29D. Naumov
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 11:32 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dunav Ruse have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Botev Plovdiv have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(away) | 3-2 | Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia(away) | 3-2 | First League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ludogorets II(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(home) | 2-2 | First League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | CSKA 1948(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(home) | 2-0 | Pro Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Slavia Sofia(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia(away) | 3-0 | First League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali(away) | 3-2 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Dunav Ruse wins, 1 draw, 4 Botev Plovdiv wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 2020 | Botev Plovdiv 3-1 Dunav Ruse | First League |
| Nov 6, 2019 | Dunav Ruse 1-2 Botev Plovdiv | First League |
| Jul 21, 2019 | Botev Plovdiv 3-1 Dunav Ruse | First League |
| Mar 2, 2019 | Dunav Ruse 1-1 Botev Plovdiv | First League |
| Oct 6, 2018 | Botev Plovdiv 4-1 Dunav Ruse | First League |
Last archived meeting: Botev Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse on Jul 3, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Dunav Ruse score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Botev Plovdiv score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dunav Ruse | 1.3 | 1.7 | 0 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Botev Plovdiv | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dunav Ruse sit 10th in First League (8 points from 11 matches) and Botev Plovdiv sit 5th (19 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Botev Plovdiv | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 19 |
| 10 | Dunav Ruse | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 8 |
A question about Dunav Ruse vs Botev Plovdiv?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dunav Ruse vs Botev Plovdiv?
- The Footlab AI model makes Botev Plovdiv the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Dunav Ruse.
- Where and when is Dunav Ruse vs Botev Plovdiv played?
- Dunav Ruse vs Botev Plovdiv is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski Stadion, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.