Dunav Ruse vs Botev Plovdiv: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gradski Stadion, Rousse
The Footlab model makes Dunav Ruse the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Botev Plovdiv. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dunav Ruse vs Botev Plovdiv?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Dunav Ruse (1,731) and Botev Plovdiv (1,800).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dunav Ruse have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Botev Plovdiv have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(away) | 1-3 | First League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Ludogorets(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ludogorets(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Spartak Varna(home) | 3-2 | First League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Jul 27, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(away) | 2-3 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Dunav Ruse win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Botev Plovdiv win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 2020 | Botev Plovdiv 3-1 Dunav Ruse | First League |
| Nov 6, 2019 | Dunav Ruse 1-2 Botev Plovdiv | First League |
| Jul 21, 2019 | Botev Plovdiv 3-1 Dunav Ruse | First League |
| Mar 2, 2019 | Dunav Ruse 1-1 Botev Plovdiv | First League |
| Oct 6, 2018 | Botev Plovdiv 4-1 Dunav Ruse | First League |
Last archived meeting: Botev Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse on Jul 3, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Dunav Ruse score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Botev Plovdiv score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dunav Ruse | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Botev Plovdiv | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dunav Ruse sit 13th in First League (3 points from 6 matches) and Botev Plovdiv sit 6th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Botev Plovdiv | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
| 13 | Dunav Ruse | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dunav Ruse vs Botev Plovdiv?
- The Footlab model makes Dunav Ruse the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Botev Plovdiv.
- Where and when is Dunav Ruse vs Botev Plovdiv played?
- Dunav Ruse vs Botev Plovdiv is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski Stadion, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.