Cherno More Varna vs Slavia Sofia: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Ticha, Dolni chiflik
The Footlab AI model makes Cherno More Varna the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Slavia Sofia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cherno More Varna wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cherno More Varna vs Slavia Sofia?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Cherno More Varna (1,722) and Slavia Sofia (1,701).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cherno More Varna vs Slavia Sofia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cherno More Varna
4-2-3-1- 10Celso Sidney
- 11M. Achi
- 99I. Bounaas
- 24David Teles
- 71V. Panayotov
- 29B. Beyhan
- 37V. Kerchev
- 50E. Tombak
- 5L. Squadrone
- 93G. Ventsislavov
- 31D. Hristov
Slavia Sofia
4-2-3-1- 77E. Stoev
- 95V. Miletić
- 73I. Minchev
- 10V. Nikolov
- 11M. Dosso
- 27Umaro Baldé
- 87D. Ferraresso
- 4N. Savić
- 71K. Stoyanov
- 5David Malembana
- 99I. Andonov
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 01:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cherno More Varna have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Slavia Sofia have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Levski Sofia(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ludogorets(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(home) | 2-2 | First League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | CSKA 1948(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Spartak Varna(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Dunav Ruse(away) | 1-0 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cherno More Varna wins, 2 draws, 2 Slavia Sofia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Cherno More Varna 1-3 Slavia Sofia | First League |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Slavia Sofia 0-0 Cherno More Varna | First League |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Cherno More Varna 1-1 Slavia Sofia | First League |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Cherno More Varna 1-0 Slavia Sofia | Cup |
| Oct 4, 2024 | Slavia Sofia 1-0 Cherno More Varna | First League |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Cherno More Varna 3-0 Slavia Sofia | First League |
Last archived meeting: Cherno More Varna vs Slavia Sofia on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cherno More Varna score 1.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Slavia Sofia score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cherno More Varna | 1.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Slavia Sofia | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cherno More Varna sit 14th in First League (6 points from 11 matches) and Slavia Sofia sit 8th (11 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Slavia Sofia | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 11 |
| 14 | Cherno More Varna | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 22 | 6 |
A question about Cherno More Varna vs Slavia Sofia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cherno More Varna vs Slavia Sofia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cherno More Varna the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Slavia Sofia.
- Where and when is Cherno More Varna vs Slavia Sofia played?
- Cherno More Varna vs Slavia Sofia is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ticha, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.