Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Botev Vratsa: prediction and stats
First LeagueMatchday 26Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Lokomotiv, Plovdiv
The Footlab AI model makes Lokomotiv Plovdiv the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Botev Vratsa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lokomotiv Plovdiv wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,527 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Botev Vratsa?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Lokomotiv Plovdiv (1,798) and Botev Vratsa (1,713).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Botev Vratsa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
4-2-3-1- 29Christ Longville
- 5T. Pavlov
- 39P. Umarbayev
- 10J. Iliev
- 11R. Leijten
- 6M. Trdan
- 2Adrián Cova
- 13Lucas Ryan
- 22I. Ivanov
- 4A. Chindriş
- 1B. Milosavljevic
Botev Vratsa
4-2-3-1- 4I. Goranov
- 12I. Yurukov
- 7R. Tsonev
- 10J. Gallegos
- 24M. Smolenski
- 8A. Stoyanov
- 36M. Stoev
- 3S. Sanyang
- 25A. Buchkov
- 21M. Dimitrov
- 94M. Orlinov
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 08:57 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lokomotiv Plovdiv have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Botev Vratsa have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Ludogorets(home) | 0-3 | First League |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Slavia Sofia(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(away) | 1-0 | Pro Cup |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Yantra 2019(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Fratria(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv(away) | 0-2 | Pro Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Lokomotiv Plovdiv wins, 1 draw, 1 Botev Vratsa win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Botev Vratsa 1-2 Lokomotiv Plovdiv | First League |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Botev Vratsa 1-2 Lokomotiv Plovdiv | First League |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv 3-0 Botev Vratsa | First League |
| May 15, 2025 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-3 Botev Vratsa | First League |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0 Botev Vratsa | First League |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Botev Vratsa 0-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv | First League |
Last archived meeting: Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv on Nov 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lokomotiv Plovdiv score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Botev Vratsa score 0.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Botev Vratsa | 0.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lokomotiv Plovdiv sit 11th in First League (12 points from 14 matches) and Botev Vratsa sit 13th (10 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 12 |
| 13 | Botev Vratsa | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 10 |
A question about Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Botev Vratsa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Botev Vratsa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lokomotiv Plovdiv the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Botev Vratsa.
- Where and when is Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Botev Vratsa played?
- Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Botev Vratsa is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Lokomotiv, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.