Match

Cultural Leonesa II vs Bembibre: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Área Deportiva Municipal Puente Castro, León

Cultural Leonesa IIBembibre

The Footlab model makes Cultural Leonesa II the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Bembibre. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cultural Leonesa II vs Bembibre?

A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Cultural Leonesa II (1,745) and Bembibre (1,657).

Cultural Leonesa II win52 %
Draw25 %
Bembibre win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cultural Leonesa II have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Bembibre have 3, 7 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cultural Leonesa II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 14, 2026Sporting Gijón II(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026Atlético Mansillés(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026Atlético Tordesillas(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 25, 2026Numancia II(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026Cristo Atlético(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Bembibre
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Palencia CF(away)1-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026Becerril Campos(home)4-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026Arandina(away)3-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026Mirandés II(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 11, 2026UD Santa Marta(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Cultural Leonesa II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Bembibre win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 1, 2026Bembibre 0-1 Cultural Leonesa IITercera División RFEF - Group 8
Sep 21, 2025Cultural Leonesa II 1-2 BembibreTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Mar 29, 2025Cultural Leonesa II 3-1 BembibreTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Nov 10, 2024Bembibre 0-1 Cultural Leonesa IITercera División RFEF - Group 8
Mar 9, 2024Cultural Leonesa II 4-1 BembibreTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 22, 2023Bembibre 0-1 Cultural Leonesa IITercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Bembibre vs Cultural Leonesa II on Feb 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cultural Leonesa II score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bembibre score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cultural Leonesa II1.31.555/1511/15
Bembibre1.31.659/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cultural Leonesa II sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (42 points from 34 matches) and Bembibre sit 14th (34 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Cultural Leonesa II3412616384342
14Bembibre3481016385234

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cultural Leonesa II vs Bembibre?
The Footlab model makes Cultural Leonesa II the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Bembibre.
Where and when is Cultural Leonesa II vs Bembibre played?
Cultural Leonesa II vs Bembibre is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Área Deportiva Municipal Puente Castro, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Cultural Leonesa II and Bembibre

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