UD Santa Marta vs Turégano: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Alfonso San Casto, Santa Marta de Tormes
The Footlab AI model makes UD Santa Marta the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for Turégano. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,386 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UD Santa Marta vs Turégano?
UD Santa Marta starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,830 vs 1,713).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for UD Santa Marta vs Turégano
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
UD Santa Marta
Not enough data to predict the UD Santa Marta lineup.
Turégano
4-3-3- 7Alcubilla
- 10Juan Núñez
- 11Carlos Cotrina
- 5David Aguado
- 14Guillermo Martín Duque
- 20Adri González
- 3David Arranz Sanz
- 2Javier García
- 4Julio Gómez
- 16Marcos San Miguel
- 1Álvaro González
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 05:01 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UD Santa Marta have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Turégano have 3, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Calasanz de Soria(home) | 5-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Salamanca II(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Almazán(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Mirandés II(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Burgos Promesas(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Burgos Promesas(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Palencia CF(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Colegios Diocesanos(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Villaralbo(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
How many goals should we expect?
UD Santa Marta score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Turégano score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UD Santa Marta | 1.5 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Turégano | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/13 | 6/13 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UD Santa Marta sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (23 points from 10 matches) and Turégano sit 13th (11 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Santa Marta | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 23 |
| 13 | Turégano | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 11 |
A question about UD Santa Marta vs Turégano?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UD Santa Marta vs Turégano?
- The Footlab AI model makes UD Santa Marta the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for Turégano.
- Where and when is UD Santa Marta vs Turégano played?
- UD Santa Marta vs Turégano is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Alfonso San Casto, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Mar 28, 2027Burgos PromesasvsCristo Atlético
- Mar 28, 2027Cultural Leonesa IIvsBembibre
- Mar 28, 2027Salamanca IIvsMirandés II
- Mar 28, 2027Colegios DiocesanosvsGuijuelo
- Mar 28, 2027Palencia CFvsAtlético Mansillés
- Mar 28, 2027VillaralbovsLa Virgen del Camino