Where and when is Villaralbo vs La Virgen del Camino played?

Villaralbo vs La Virgen del Camino is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal Los Barreros, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Villaralbo vs La Virgen del Camino: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal Los Barreros, Villaralbo

Villaralbo

La Virgen del Camino

The Footlab model makes Villaralbo the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for La Virgen del Camino. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Villaralbo vs La Virgen del Camino?

A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Villaralbo (1,729) and La Virgen del Camino (1,712).

Villaralbo win48 %

Draw29 %

La Virgen del Camino win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villaralbo have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; La Virgen del Camino have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Villaralbo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 9, 2026	Mirandés II(away)	2-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026	Colegios Diocesanos(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026	Unionistas II(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026	Guijuelo(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 11, 2026	Cultural Leonesa II(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

La Virgen del Camino
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Mojados(away)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 1, 2026	Almazán(home)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 25, 2026	Palencia CF(away)	2-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026	Becerril Campos(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 11, 2026	Arandina(away)	1-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Villaralbo win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 La Virgen del Camino win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 1, 2026	La Virgen del Camino 1-0 Villaralbo	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 4, 2025	Villaralbo 1-0 La Virgen del Camino	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Mar 1, 2025	La Virgen del Camino 1-1 Villaralbo	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 19, 2024	Villaralbo 1-1 La Virgen del Camino	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 11, 2024	La Virgen del Camino 1-1 Villaralbo	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Jan 20, 2024	Villaralbo 0-1 La Virgen del Camino	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: La Virgen del Camino vs Villaralbo on Apr 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Villaralbo score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; La Virgen del Camino score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Villaralbo	1.1	1.2	4	8/15	6/15
La Virgen del Camino	0.9	1.4	4	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Villaralbo sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (42 points from 34 matches) and La Virgen del Camino sit 9th (44 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	La Virgen del Camino	34	12	8	14	31	37	44
11	Villaralbo	34	11	9	14	29	37	42

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Villaralbo vs La Virgen del Camino?: The Footlab model makes Villaralbo the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for La Virgen del Camino.
Where and when is Villaralbo vs La Virgen del Camino played?: Villaralbo vs La Virgen del Camino is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal Los Barreros, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.