Palencia CF vs Atlético Mansillés: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Nueva Balastera, Palencia
The Footlab AI model makes Palencia CF the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Atlético Mansillés. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,327 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Palencia CF vs Atlético Mansillés?
On Elo ratings, Palencia CF has 1,807 points and Atlético Mansillés 1,753.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Palencia CF vs Atlético Mansillés
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Palencia CF
Not enough data to predict the Palencia CF lineup.
Atlético Mansillés
Not enough data to predict the Atlético Mansillés lineup.
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 01:03 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Palencia CF have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Atlético Mansillés have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Bembibre(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Cristo Atlético(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Turégano(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Calasanz de Soria(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Salamanca II(home) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Colegios Diocesanos(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Villaralbo(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Arandina(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Unionistas II(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | La Virgen del Camino(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Palencia CF win, 1 draw, 2 Atlético Mansillés wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Atlético Mansillés 2-1 Palencia CF | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Palencia CF 1-1 Atlético Mansillés | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Atlético Mansillés 2-1 Palencia CF | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Palencia CF 1-0 Atlético Mansillés | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Atlético Mansillés vs Palencia CF on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Palencia CF score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Mansillés score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palencia CF | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Atlético Mansillés | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Palencia CF sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (17 points from 10 matches) and Atlético Mansillés sit 11th (13 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Palencia CF | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 9 | 17 |
| 11 | Atlético Mansillés | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 13 |
A question about Palencia CF vs Atlético Mansillés?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Palencia CF vs Atlético Mansillés?
- The Footlab AI model makes Palencia CF the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Atlético Mansillés.
- Where and when is Palencia CF vs Atlético Mansillés played?
- Palencia CF vs Atlético Mansillés is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Nueva Balastera, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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