Where and when is Burgos Promesas vs Cristo Atlético played?

Burgos Promesas vs Cristo Atlético is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva de Castañares, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Burgos Promesas vs Cristo Atlético: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva de Castañares, Burgos

Burgos Promesas

Cristo Atlético

The Footlab model makes Burgos Promesas the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Cristo Atlético. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Burgos Promesas vs Cristo Atlético?

A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Burgos Promesas (1,818) and Cristo Atlético (1,866).

Burgos Promesas win40 %

Draw29 %

Cristo Atlético win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burgos Promesas have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Cristo Atlético have 10, 3 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Burgos Promesas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Real Valladolid II(away)	0-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026	Salamanca UDS(home)	2-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 18, 2026	Atlético Astorga(away)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 12, 2026	Coruxo(home)	1-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 5, 2026	Deportivo La Coruña II(home)	1-4	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Cristo Atlético
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Atlético Tordesillas(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	Laredo(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026	Palencia CF(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 17, 2026	Palencia CF(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 10, 2026	Colegios Diocesanos(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Burgos Promesas win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Cristo Atlético win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 19, 2025	Cristo Atlético 0-1 Burgos Promesas	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Sep 8, 2024	Burgos Promesas 2-2 Cristo Atlético	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 27, 2024	Cristo Atlético 3-0 Burgos Promesas	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Dec 16, 2023	Burgos Promesas 1-2 Cristo Atlético	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 23, 2023	Cristo Atlético 2-1 Burgos Promesas	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Dec 10, 2022	Burgos Promesas 0-2 Cristo Atlético	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Cristo Atlético vs Burgos Promesas on Jan 19, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Burgos Promesas score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Cristo Atlético score 1.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Burgos Promesas	1.0	1.5	5	7/15	6/15
Cristo Atlético	1.5	0.8	5	8/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Cristo Atlético	34	21	5	8	48	24	68

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Burgos Promesas vs Cristo Atlético?: The Footlab model makes Burgos Promesas the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Cristo Atlético.
Where and when is Burgos Promesas vs Cristo Atlético played?: Burgos Promesas vs Cristo Atlético is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva de Castañares, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.