Where and when is Arandina vs Unionistas II played?

Arandina vs Unionistas II is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Montecillo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Arandina vs Unionistas II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Montecillo, Aranda de Duero

Arandina

Unionistas II

The Footlab model makes Arandina the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Unionistas II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arandina vs Unionistas II?

A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Arandina (1,717) and Unionistas II (1,708).

Arandina win44 %

Draw28 %

Unionistas II win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arandina have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Unionistas II have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arandina
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Becerril Campos(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026	Mirandés II(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026	Bembibre(home)	3-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026	UD Santa Marta(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 11, 2026	La Virgen del Camino(home)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Unionistas II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Guijuelo(home)	4-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026	Numancia II(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026	Cristo Atlético(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026	Villaralbo(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 19, 2026	Colegios Diocesanos(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Arandina win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Unionistas II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 22, 2026	Unionistas II 2-2 Arandina	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 12, 2025	Arandina 2-1 Unionistas II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Unionistas II vs Arandina on Feb 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Arandina score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Unionistas II score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Arandina	1.3	1.5	2	9/15	7/15
Unionistas II	1.6	1.3	4	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arandina sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (37 points from 34 matches) and Unionistas II sit 15th (31 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
12	Arandina	34	9	10	15	32	46	37
15	Unionistas II	34	6	13	15	32	43	31

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arandina vs Unionistas II?: The Footlab model makes Arandina the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Unionistas II.
Where and when is Arandina vs Unionistas II played?: Arandina vs Unionistas II is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Montecillo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.