Cultural Leonesa vs Ponferradina: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 11Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Reino de León, León
The Footlab model makes Ponferradina the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Cultural Leonesa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cultural Leonesa vs Ponferradina?
Ponferradina starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,968 vs 1,836).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cultural Leonesa have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Ponferradina have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Atlético Astorga(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Salamanca UDS(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Burgos(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Real Avilés(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Athletic Club II(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Real Madrid II(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Marino de Luanco(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Real Avilés(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Oviedo(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(away) | 1-4 | Primera División RFEF - Play Offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Cultural Leonesa win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Ponferradina win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2025 | Ponferradina 2-1 Cultural Leonesa | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Cultural Leonesa 2-0 Ponferradina | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Cultural Leonesa 0-0 Ponferradina | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Ponferradina 1-2 Cultural Leonesa | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Ponferradina vs Cultural Leonesa on May 17, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Cultural Leonesa score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ponferradina score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cultural Leonesa | 1.1 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Ponferradina | 1.1 | 1.3 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ponferradina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 43 | 33 | 60 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cultural Leonesa vs Ponferradina?
- The Footlab model makes Ponferradina the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Cultural Leonesa.
- Where and when is Cultural Leonesa vs Ponferradina played?
- Cultural Leonesa vs Ponferradina is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Reino de León, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.