Racing Ferrol vs UD Logroñés: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 11Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de A Malata, Ferrol
The Footlab model makes UD Logroñés the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Racing Ferrol. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Racing Ferrol vs UD Logroñés?
UD Logroñés starts as the favourite with a 211-point Elo edge (2,042 vs 1,831).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Racing Ferrol have 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 defeats; UD Logroñés have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2026 | Real Avilés(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Madrid II(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(away) | 2-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Osasuna II(home) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | Arenas Getxo(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Huesca II(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Mirandes(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Zaragoza(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Huesca(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | SS Reyes(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Racing Ferrol win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 UD Logroñés win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | UD Logroñés 1-2 Racing Ferrol | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Jan 23, 2022 | Racing Ferrol 0-1 UD Logroñés | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: UD Logroñés vs Racing Ferrol on Apr 23, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Racing Ferrol score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; UD Logroñés score 2.0 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Ferrol | 1.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| UD Logroñés | 2.0 | 0.6 | 9 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Racing Ferrol | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 41 | 47 | 49 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Racing Ferrol vs UD Logroñés?
- The Footlab model makes UD Logroñés the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Racing Ferrol.
- Where and when is Racing Ferrol vs UD Logroñés played?
- Racing Ferrol vs UD Logroñés is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de A Malata, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.