Racing Ferrol vs UD Logroñés: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 11Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de A Malata, Ferrol
The Footlab AI model makes UD Logroñés the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Racing Ferrol. The most likely score is 1-1. If UD Logroñés wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Racing Ferrol vs UD Logroñés?
UD Logroñés starts as the favourite with a 185-point Elo edge (2,004 vs 1,819).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Racing Ferrol vs UD Logroñés
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Racing Ferrol
4-3-3- 10Dani Ojeda
- 19Roberto Arroyo
- 11Endika Bujan
- 6Fabio González
- 14Jesús Bernal
- 16Raúl Blanco
- 2Migue Leal
- 17Álvaro Ramón
- 4Germán Novoa
- 5Eric Monjonell
- 1Lucas Díaz
UD Logroñés
4-3-3- 21Ismael Santana
- 11Marcos Baselga
- 19I. Asenjo
- 14David Navarro
- 20Anai Morales
- 6Mario Maroto
- 3Sergio Camacho
- 5A. Alvarez
- 4Eduardo Cabetas
- 22Carlos García-Die
- 13Fermín Sobrón
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Racing Ferrol have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; UD Logroñés have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Pontevedra(home) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Lugo(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Barakaldo(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Real Unión(home) | 3-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Lugo(away) | 1-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(home) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mérida AD(away) | 5-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Pontevedra(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | UD Ourense(away) | 3-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Racing Ferrol win, 0 draws, 1 UD Logroñés win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | UD Logroñés 1-2 Racing Ferrol | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Jan 23, 2022 | Racing Ferrol 0-1 UD Logroñés | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: UD Logroñés vs Racing Ferrol on Apr 23, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Racing Ferrol score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; UD Logroñés score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Ferrol | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| UD Logroñés | 2.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Racing Ferrol sit 3rd in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (13 points from 7 matches) and UD Logroñés sit 1st (16 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Logroñés | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Racing Ferrol | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
A question about Racing Ferrol vs UD Logroñés?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Racing Ferrol vs UD Logroñés?
- The Footlab AI model makes UD Logroñés the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Racing Ferrol.
- Where and when is Racing Ferrol vs UD Logroñés played?
- Racing Ferrol vs UD Logroñés is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de A Malata, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.