Match

Barakaldo vs Real Unión: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 11Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Lasesarre, Barakaldo

BarakaldoReal Unión

The Footlab AI model makes Real Unión the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Barakaldo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Unión wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,748 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Barakaldo vs Real Unión?

A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Barakaldo (1,946) and Real Unión (1,988).

26%28%46%
Barakaldo winDrawReal Unión win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Barakaldo vs Real Unión

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Barakaldo

4-3-3
  1. 27E. Mateos
  2. 19Ángel Troncho
  3. 9X. Sola
  1. 8Julen Huidobro
  2. 15I. Jimenez
  3. 21X. Fernandez
  1. 3Ander Zoilo
  2. 4O. Marotias
  3. 18Benat Gomez
  4. 22S. Calera
  1. 13Gaizka Campos

Real Unión

4-3-3
  1. 20Ander Martín
  2. 7Unai García
  3. 11Aitor Galarza Altuna
  1. 23Sangalli
  2. 6B. Gaubeka
  3. 22Juan de la Mata
  1. 2Javi Fontán
  2. 4Jordi Pola
  3. 3Álvaro Mateo
  4. 5Gaizka Martínez
  1. 1Jon Tena

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 03:06 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barakaldo have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Real Unión have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Barakaldo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Mirandes(home)2-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 10, 2026UD Ourense(away)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 3, 2026Arenas Getxo(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026Real Avilés(home)3-3Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 19, 2026Racing Ferrol(away)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Real Unión
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Extremadura 1924(away)2-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 11, 2026Athletic Club II(away)0-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 3, 2026UD Ourense(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 26, 2026Deportivo La Coruña II(away)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 19, 2026Mirandes(home)2-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Barakaldo wins, 1 draw, 2 Real Unión wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 2, 2025Barakaldo 0-2 Real UniónPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 13, 2024Real Unión 1-1 BarakaldoPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Aug 14, 2024Real Unión 0-1 BarakaldoFriendlies Clubs
Feb 13, 2021Barakaldo 3-0 Real UniónPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
Nov 15, 2020Real Unión 2-1 BarakaldoPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
Dec 8, 2019Barakaldo 2-1 Real UniónPrimera División RFEF - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Barakaldo vs Real Unión on Feb 2, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Barakaldo score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Real Unión score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Barakaldo1.21.155/154/15
Real Unión1.91.6311/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Barakaldo sit 13th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (9 points from 8 matches) and Real Unión sit 10th (10 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Real Unión8242151310
13Barakaldo82338109

A question about Barakaldo vs Real Unión?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Barakaldo vs Real Unión?
The Footlab AI model makes Real Unión the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Barakaldo.
Where and when is Barakaldo vs Real Unión played?
Barakaldo vs Real Unión is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Lasesarre, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Barakaldo and Real Unión

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