Match

Cacereño vs Lugo: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 11Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Príncipe Felipe, Cáceres

CacereñoLugo

The Footlab AI model makes Cacereño the favourite at 36%, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Lugo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cacereño wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cacereño vs Lugo?

A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Cacereño (1,864) and Lugo (1,902).

36%32%32%
Cacereño winDrawLugo win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Cacereño vs Lugo

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Cacereño

4-3-3
  1. 18Juan Artola
  2. 16Sergio Navarro
  3. 9O. Chit
  1. 6N. Conesa
  2. 8Álvaro Gete
  3. 5Toño Calvo
  1. 22Adrián Expósito
  2. 17Sergio López
  3. 2I. Martinez
  4. 3Manolo Molina
  1. 1Diego Nieves

Lugo

4-3-3
  1. 17Chiqui
  2. 11M. Dauda
  3. 16A. Palma
  1. 20A. Ulloa
  2. 15P. Parrilla
  3. 6Kevin Presa
  1. 5Pol Moreno
  2. 19R. Lucero
  3. 4Ibaider Garriz
  4. 3Pere Haro
  1. 1Marc Martínez

Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:38 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cacereño have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Lugo have 10, 2 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cacereño
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Unionistas de Salamanca(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 4, 2026Mérida AD(away)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026UD Ourense(away)0-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 20, 2026Arenas Getxo(home)3-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 16, 2026Recreativo Huelva(away)1-2Copa Federacion
Lugo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 12, 2026UD Logroñés(home)3-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 2, 2026Real Avilés(away)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 26, 2026Racing Ferrol(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 20, 2026Zamora(away)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 13, 2026CD Coria(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Cacereño wins, 0 draws, 2 Lugo wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 29, 2026Cacereño 1-2 LugoPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 4, 2025Lugo 1-0 CacereñoPrimera División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Cacereño vs Lugo on Mar 29, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cacereño score 1.4 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Lugo score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cacereño1.40.867/156/15
Lugo1.30.876/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cacereño sit 5th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (12 points from 7 matches) and Lugo sit 2nd (16 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Lugo65109316
5Cacereño73317412

A question about Cacereño vs Lugo?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cacereño vs Lugo?
The Footlab AI model makes Cacereño the favourite at 36%, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Lugo.
Where and when is Cacereño vs Lugo played?
Cacereño vs Lugo is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Príncipe Felipe, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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