Where and when is Cacereño vs Lugo played?

Cacereño vs Lugo is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Príncipe Felipe, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Cacereño vs Lugo: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 11Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Príncipe Felipe, Cáceres

Cacereño

Lugo

The Footlab model makes Cacereño the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Lugo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cacereño vs Lugo?

A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Cacereño (1,923) and Lugo (1,885).

Cacereño win41 %

Draw30 %

Lugo win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cacereño have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Lugo have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cacereño
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Unionistas de Salamanca(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Gévora(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026	Villanovense(away)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026	CF Talavera(home)	1-2	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026	Zamora(away)	2-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Lugo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Ourense CF(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	Coruxo(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026	Deportivo La Coruna(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026	Arenteiro(home)	0-0	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026	Celta de Vigo II(away)	1-0	Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Cacereño win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Lugo win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 29, 2026	Cacereño 1-2 Lugo	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 4, 2025	Lugo 1-0 Cacereño	Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Cacereño vs Lugo on Mar 29, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cacereño score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lugo score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Cacereño	1.4	1.1	4	9/15	8/15
Lugo	0.9	1.3	5	6/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cacereño sit 15th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (44 points from 38 matches) and Lugo sit 9th (53 points from 38 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Lugo	38	13	14	11	36	40	53
15	Cacereño	38	10	14	14	42	49	44

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cacereño vs Lugo?: The Footlab model makes Cacereño the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Lugo.
Where and when is Cacereño vs Lugo played?: Cacereño vs Lugo is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Príncipe Felipe, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.