Match

Cultural Leonesa vs Pontevedra: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 9Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Reino de León, León

Cultural LeonesaPontevedra

The Footlab model makes Pontevedra the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Cultural Leonesa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cultural Leonesa vs Pontevedra?

Pontevedra starts as the favourite with a 151-point Elo edge (1,990 vs 1,840).

Cultural Leonesa win30 %
Draw29 %
Pontevedra win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cultural Leonesa have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Pontevedra have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cultural Leonesa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Atlético Astorga(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026Salamanca UDS(home)5-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Burgos(away)0-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 5, 2026Real Avilés(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Athletic Club II(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs
Pontevedra
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026Coruxo(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026Ourense CF(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Estradense(away)5-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Arosa(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026Deportivo La Coruña II(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Cultural Leonesa win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Pontevedra win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 26, 2025Pontevedra 0-1 Cultural LeonesaFriendlies Clubs
Feb 11, 2023Pontevedra 1-0 Cultural LeonesaPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 22, 2022Cultural Leonesa 2-0 PontevedraPrimera División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Pontevedra vs Cultural Leonesa on Jul 26, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Cultural Leonesa score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Pontevedra score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cultural Leonesa1.11.239/156/15
Pontevedra1.91.349/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Pontevedra3814168493158

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cultural Leonesa vs Pontevedra?
The Footlab model makes Pontevedra the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Cultural Leonesa.
Where and when is Cultural Leonesa vs Pontevedra played?
Cultural Leonesa vs Pontevedra is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Reino de León, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Cultural Leonesa and Pontevedra

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